Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CH · Market cap CHF 10.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 18 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −0.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 56.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 68.64 – CHF 144.79 · fair‑value band CHF 33.62 – CHF 56.04 · the CHF 129.10 price screens above the CHF 44.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN) currently trades at CHF 129.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 44.83, implying the stock looks roughly 65.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Swiss Prime Site AG generated revenue of CHF 560M at a net margin of 68.3%. Revenue declined 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at CHF 5.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 33.62 (bear case) to CHF 56.04 (bull case); at CHF 129.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -65%, SPSN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 18 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (CHF 73.51) versus DCF Models (CHF 11.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Swiss Prime Site AG, through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Switzerland. It operates through Real Estate, Asset management, and Corporate & Shared Services segments. The company purchases, develops, sells, and leases properties, as well as financing activities.
Full company description
Swiss Prime Site AG, through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Switzerland. It operates through Real Estate, Asset management, and Corporate & Shared Services segments. The company purchases, develops, sells, and leases properties, as well as financing activities. It is also involved in the funds, asset management, and investment advisory businesses. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Swiss Prime Site AG reported revenue of CHF 553M in FY2025 versus CHF 750M in FY2021, a compound −7.3%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 382M in FY2025, compounding −6.4%/yr from FY2021.
SPSN screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Central Pattana Public Company →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.76 | ¥0.3300 | -88% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
| Catena AB CATE | kr 409.60 | kr 298.00 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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