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STOCK COMPARISON

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group vs Smurfit WestRock: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Pacific Millennium Packaging Group (1820) and Smurfit WestRock (SW) compare, as of Sep 6, 2026.

As of Sep 6, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Pacific Millennium Packaging Group as the less overvalued of the two: Pacific Millennium Packaging Group trades at HK$2.76 versus a fair value of HK$1.96 (-29%), while Smurfit WestRock trades at $45.83 versus $28.44 (-38%).
Pacific Millennium Packaging Group
1820.HK · HKD · Materials
-29%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$2.76
Fair ValueHK$1.96
Quality49/100
Smurfit WestRock
SW · USD · Materials
-38%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$45.83
Fair Value$28.44
Quality32/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Pacific Millennium Packaging GroupSmurfit WestRock
Valuation
—P/E (TTM)65.0×
0.05×P/S (TTM)0.73×
0.22×P/B1.06×
2.8×EV/EBITDA7.4×
—PEG0.28×
−28.9%Fair value upside−37.9%
2.3%Dividend yield3.8%
—Dividend per share$1.75
Profitability
-1%Operating margin7%
—EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.68×
-9%Return on equity2%
-1%Return on assets3%
Growth
-3%Revenue growth (YoY)1%
-1.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)35.2%
0.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)29.6%
—Value creation/yr+0.7%
Balance & size
—Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)2.6×
0.44×Debt / equity0.62×
$105MMarket cap$23B
weakGrowth qualitymixed

Smurfit WestRock leads: 5 to 6 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Pacific Millennium Packaging Groupof which business quality 49 · market factors 55 Smurfit WestRockof which business quality 34 · market factors 51
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
27
26
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
40
74
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
47
44
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
30
34
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
97
24
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
67
51
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
57
50
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
38
52
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
0

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyPacific Millennium Packaging GroupPrice HK$2.76Smurfit WestRockPrice $45.83
DCF Models+62%above the priceHK$4.48-41%below the price$27.22
Earnings-Basedn/a-66%below the price$15.40
Dividend Discount-75%below the priceHK$0.68-34%below the price$30.19
Multiples+79%above the priceHK$4.95-41%below the price$27.09
Asset-Based-62%below the priceHK$1.05-40%below the price$27.50
Growth DCF+87%above the priceHK$5.15-35%below the price$29.57
Economic Profitn/a-48%below the price$23.97
Growth Earningsn/a-56%below the price$20.02
Minimum-75%below the priceHK$0.68-66%below the price$15.40
Maximum+87%above the priceHK$5.15-34%below the price$30.19
Median+62%above the priceHK$4.48-41%below the price$27.16
Geometric mean-13%close to the priceHK$2.41-46%below the price$24.59

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group: 4 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

Smurfit WestRock: 23 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group
Bear HK$0.71Fair Value HK$1.96Bull HK$3.21
HK$2.76 = current price (white tick)
Smurfit WestRock
Bear $19.63Fair Value $28.44Bull $35.55
$45.83 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group · Materials

Quality score49 · below median
Fair value upside-29% · below median

Smurfit WestRock · Materials

Quality score32 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-38% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 6, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Pacific Millennium Packaging Group as the less overvalued of the two: Pacific Millennium Packaging Group trades at HK$2.76 versus a fair value of HK$1.96 (-29%), while Smurfit WestRock trades at $45.83 versus $28.44 (-38%).

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group has the higher quality score (49/100).

See the full analysis →
Pacific Millennium Packaging Group · Smurfit WestRock

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.