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STOCK COMPARISON

China Wood International Holding Co. vs Transurban: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how China Wood International Holding Co. (1822) and Transurban (TCL) compare, as of Oct 1, 2026.

As of Oct 1, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Transurban as the less overvalued of the two: China Wood International Holding Co. trades at HK$0.12 versus a fair value of HK$0.04 (−64.0%), while Transurban trades at A$13.24 versus A$4.92 (−62.8%).
China Wood International Holding Co.
1822.HK · HKD · Industrials
−64.0%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$0.12
Fair ValueHK$0.04
Quality37/100
Transurban
TCL.AU · AUD · Industrials
−62.8%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$13.24
Fair ValueA$4.92
Quality57/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

China Wood International Holding Co.Transurban
Valuation
n/aP/E (TTM)112.9×
n/aForward P/E (FY2028)70.6×
n/aMedian P/E at FY-end (8 FY, ex one-offs where documented)171.6×
0.06×P/S (TTM)10.61×
0.22×P/B5.35× · book value is mostly goodwill
n/aEV/EBITDA25.3×
n/aPEG1.52×
−64.0%Fair value upside−62.8%
n/aDividend yield5.2%
n/aDividend per shareA$0.69
Profitability
-14.9%Operating margin24.3%
n/aEBIT margin trend (5Y)1.70×
-55.4%Return on equity5.0%
-15.0%Return on assets2.1%
Growth
-15.6%Revenue growth (YoY)-9.8%
23.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-2.5%
n/aAvg. growth/yr (5Y)5.9%
n/aValue creation/yr+19.8%
Balance & size
n/aInterest coverage (EBIT/interest)1.2×
n/aDebt / equity2.51×
$16MMarket cap$29B
mixedGrowth qualityweak
Transurban, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 171.6.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Even match: 3 to 3 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

China Wood International Holding Co.of which business quality 36 · market factors 49 Transurbanof which business quality 53 · market factors 52
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
29
21
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
10
39
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
18
99
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
76
10
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
90
97
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
50
99
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
55
38
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
39
23
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
0
77

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyChina Wood International Holding Co.Price HK$0.12TransurbanPrice A$13.24
DCF Modelsn/a−50.6%below the priceA$6.55
Earnings-Basedn/a−87.6%below the priceA$1.64
Dividend Discountn/a−17.6%below the priceA$10.91
Multiplesn/a−85.0%below the priceA$1.99
Asset-Based−57.6%below the priceHK$0.05−87.5%below the priceA$1.66
Growth DCFn/a−37.5%below the priceA$8.28
Economic Profitn/a−85.3%below the priceA$1.94
Growth Earningsn/a−81.6%below the priceA$2.44
Minimum−57.6%below the priceHK$0.05−87.6%below the priceA$1.64
Maximum−57.6%below the priceHK$0.05−17.6%below the priceA$10.91
Median−57.6%below the priceHK$0.05−83.3%below the priceA$2.22
Geometric mean−57.6%below the priceHK$0.05−74.8%below the priceA$3.33

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

China Wood International Holding Co.: 1 of 1 models see the stock below the current price.

Transurban: 21 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

China Wood International Holding Co.
Price HK$0.12
Fair Value HK$0.04
Bear HK$0.03Bull HK$0.06
Transurban
Price A$13.24
Fair Value A$4.92
Bear A$3.94Bull A$6.34

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

China Wood International Holding Co. · Industrials

Quality score37 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside−64.0% · bottom 25%

Transurban · Industrials

Quality score57 · above median
Fair value upside−62.8% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Oct 1, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Transurban as the less overvalued of the two: China Wood International Holding Co. trades at HK$0.12 versus a fair value of HK$0.04 (−64.0%), while Transurban trades at A$13.24 versus A$4.92 (−62.8%).

Transurban has the higher quality score (57/100).

Open Transurban live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.