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STOCK COMPARISON

Hongxin Tech Co vs O’Reilly Automotive: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Hongxin Tech Co (301539) and O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees O’Reilly Automotive as the less overvalued of the two: Hongxin Tech Co trades at ¥15.20 versus a fair value of ¥4.49 (-70%), while O’Reilly Automotive trades at $85.90 versus $48.08 (-44%).
Hongxin Tech Co
301539.SHE · CNY · Consumer Cyclical
-70%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥15.20
Fair Value¥4.49
Quality12/100
O’Reilly Automotive
ORLY · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-44%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$85.90
Fair Value$48.08
Quality65/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Hongxin Tech CoO’Reilly Automotive
Valuation
766.0×P/E (TTM)28.0×
2.04×P/S (TTM)4.04×
2.82×P/BNegative equity
34.3×EV/EBITDA19.4×
n/aPEG1.84×
−70.4%Fair value upside−44.0%
1.0%Dividend yieldn/a
Profitability
-1%Operating margin18%
0.34×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.93×
0%Return on equityNegative equity
0%Return on assets14%
Growth
16%Revenue growth (YoY)10%
3.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)7.3%
11.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)8.9%
−15.9%Value creation/yr+12.5%
Balance & size
7.1×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)14.7×
0.32×Debt / equityNegative equity
$339MMarket cap$74B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy
Valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are shown but not scored here: the two companies sit in different sectors, and multiples only compare fairly between similar business models. PEG stays scored, as it relates the P/E to growth.

O’Reilly Automotive leads: 1 to 8 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Hongxin Tech Coof which business quality 17 · market factors 40 O’Reilly Automotiveof which business quality 64 · market factors 45
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
24
83
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
22
43
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
0
46
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
46
68
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
0
64
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
77
87
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
29
34
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
16
14
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
0
80

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyHongxin Tech CoPrice ¥15.20O’Reilly AutomotivePrice $85.90
DCF Modelsn/a-42%below the price$49.94
Earnings-Based-91%below the price¥1.32-60%below the price$34.12
Multiples-79%below the price¥3.17-41%below the price$50.49
Asset-Based-76%below the price¥3.64n/a
Growth DCFn/a-61%below the price$33.60
Economic Profit-86%below the price¥2.14-58%below the price$36.11
Growth Earnings-76%below the price¥3.67-33%below the price$57.52
Minimum-91%below the price¥1.32-61%below the price$33.60
Maximum-76%below the price¥3.67-33%below the price$57.52
Median-79%below the price¥3.17-50%below the price$43.03
Geometric mean-83%below the price¥2.60-50%below the price$42.63

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Hongxin Tech Co: 14 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

O’Reilly Automotive: 20 of 21 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Hongxin Tech Co
Price ¥15.20
Fair Value ¥4.49
Bear ¥3.35Bull ¥5.44
O’Reilly Automotive
Price $85.90
Fair Value $48.08
Bear $30.59Bull $74.78

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Hongxin Tech Co · Consumer Cyclical

Quality score12 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-70% · bottom 25%

O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-44% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees O’Reilly Automotive as the less overvalued of the two: Hongxin Tech Co trades at ¥15.20 versus a fair value of ¥4.49 (-70%), while O’Reilly Automotive trades at $85.90 versus $48.08 (-44%).

O’Reilly Automotive has the higher quality score (65/100).

Open O’Reilly Automotive live analysis →

More comparisons

Popular match-ups from the same sectors, all with fair value and quality score.

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.