Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co vs Transurban: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co (600020) and Transurban (TCL) compare, as of Sep 24, 2026.
Head-to-head numbers
Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.
betterweakerfor reference, not scored
Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co leads: 9 to 5 metric wins.
n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
What the models say
How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.
▲above the price, more than 15% above ●close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price ▼below the price, more than 15% below
| Model family | Henan Zhongyuan Expressway CoPrice ¥3.84 | TransurbanPrice A$13.20 |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Models | ▼-20%below the price¥3.06 | ▼-60%below the priceA$5.26 |
| Earnings-Based | ▼-32%below the price¥2.63 | ▼-95%below the priceA$0.64 |
| Dividend Discount | ▲+118%above the price¥8.39 | n/a |
| Multiples | ▲+24%above the price¥4.75 | ▼-94%below the priceA$0.81 |
| Asset-Based | ▲+21%above the price¥4.66 | ▼-85%below the priceA$1.97 |
| Growth DCF | n/a | ▼-60%below the priceA$5.30 |
| Economic Profit | ▲+27%above the price¥4.88 | ▼-86%below the priceA$1.90 |
| Growth Earnings | ▲+22%above the price¥4.69 | ▼-93%below the priceA$0.92 |
| Minimum | ▼-32%below the price¥2.63 | ▼-95%below the priceA$0.64 |
| Maximum | ▲+118%above the price¥8.39 | ▼-60%below the priceA$5.30 |
| Median | ▲+22%above the price¥4.69 | ▼-86%below the priceA$1.90 |
| Geometric mean | ▲+16%above the price¥4.44 | ▼-87%below the priceA$1.75 |
Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.
Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co: 4 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.
Transurban: 16 of 16 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co · Industrials
Transurban · Industrials
Bottom line
As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co as the less overvalued of the two: Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co trades at ¥3.84 versus a fair value of ¥3.21 (-16%), while Transurban trades at A$13.20 versus A$4.00 (-70%).
Transurban has the higher quality score (49/100).
Open Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co live analysis →More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.