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STOCK COMPARISON

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co vs Kweichow Moutai Co: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co (600559) and Kweichow Moutai Co (600519) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Kweichow Moutai Co as the less overvalued of the two: Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co trades at ¥12.04 versus a fair value of ¥8.59 (-29%), while Kweichow Moutai Co trades at ¥1,309 versus ¥1,238 (-5%).
Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co
600559.SHG · CNY · Consumer Staples
-29%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥12.04
Fair Value¥8.59
Quality55/100
Kweichow Moutai Co
600519.SHG · CNY · Consumer Staples
-5%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price¥1,309
Fair Value¥1,238
Quality82/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor CoKweichow Moutai Co
Valuation
25.1×P/E (TTM)18.9×
2.64×P/S (TTM)9.09×
2.08×P/B6.39×
15.4×EV/EBITDA13.3×
PEG1.65×
1.7%Dividend yield4.3%
¥0.20Dividend per share¥51.95
Profitability
11%Net margin48%
18%Operating margin68%
8%Return on equity31%
3%Return on assets22%
Growth
5%Revenue growth (YoY)7%
-4.0%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)16.4%
2.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)15.4%
Balance & size
$2BMarket cap$232B
expensiveGrowth qualitymixed

Kweichow Moutai Co leads: 2 to 10 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Coof which business quality 51 · market factors 35 Kweichow Moutai Coof which business quality 79 · market factors 51
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
43
86
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
36
46
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
0
79
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
83
91
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
89
78
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
88
93
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
15
34
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
8
35
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
79
84

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co

DCF Models¥13.88
Earnings-Based¥5.23
Multiples¥8.93
Asset-Based¥3.89
Economic Profit¥4.50
Growth Earnings¥8.59

13 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

Kweichow Moutai Co

DCF Models¥1,736
Earnings-Based¥1,256
Dividend Discount¥988
Multiples¥1,164
Asset-Based¥131
Growth DCF¥1,063
Economic Profit¥810
Growth Earnings¥1,744

15 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co
Bear ¥6.02Fair Value ¥8.59Bull ¥11.60
¥12.04 = current price (white tick)
Kweichow Moutai Co
Bear ¥932Fair Value ¥1,238Bull ¥2,267
¥1,309 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co · Consumer Staples

Quality score55 · below median
Fair value upside-29% · below median

Kweichow Moutai Co · Consumer Staples

Quality score82 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-5% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Kweichow Moutai Co as the less overvalued of the two: Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co trades at ¥12.04 versus a fair value of ¥8.59 (-29%), while Kweichow Moutai Co trades at ¥1,309 versus ¥1,238 (-5%).

Kweichow Moutai Co has the higher quality score (82/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.