Jiangxi Changyun Co vs Union Pacific: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Jiangxi Changyun Co (600561) and Union Pacific (UNP) compare, as of Aug 11, 2026.
As of Aug 11, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Union Pacific as the less overvalued of the two: Jiangxi Changyun Co trades at ¥5.78 versus a fair value of ¥1.18 (-80%), while Union Pacific trades at $293 versus $145 (-51%).
Jiangxi Changyun Co
600561.SHG · CNY · Industrials
-80%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥5.78
Fair Value¥1.18
Quality41/100
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$293
Fair Value$145
Quality67/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Jiangxi Changyun CoUnion Pacific
Valuation
110.0×P/E (TTM)24.6×
1.13×P/S (TTM)7.25×
1.67×P/B9.70×
4.1×EV/EBITDA16.5×
—PEG3.64×
—Dividend yield1.8%
—Dividend per share$5.48
Profitability
1%Net margin29%
-8%Operating margin40%
3%Return on equity41%
1%Return on assets9%
Growth
-20%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
0.0%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.5%
-4.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)4.6%
Balance & size
0.06×Debt / equity1.64×
$232MMarket cap$179B
weakGrowth qualityhealthy
Union Pacific leads: 5 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Jiangxi Changyun Coof which business quality 41 · market factors 38Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 72
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
15
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
40
57
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
79
47
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
77
74
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
17
66
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
28
81
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
66
100
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Jiangxi Changyun Co
DCF Models¥5.28
Earnings-Based¥0.98
Multiples¥2.98
Asset-Based¥2.21
Growth DCF¥5.60
Economic Profit¥2.47
Growth Earnings¥0.98
17 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.
Union Pacific
DCF Models$122
Earnings-Based$97.30
Multiples$180
Asset-Based$20.84
Growth DCF$69.97
Economic Profit$121
Growth Earnings$204
23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Jiangxi Changyun Co
Bear ¥0.89Fair Value ¥1.18Bull ¥1.48
¥5.78 = current price (white tick)
Union Pacific
Bear $89.73Fair Value $145Bull $266
$293 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Jiangxi Changyun Co · Industrials
Quality score41 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-80% · bottom 25%
Union Pacific · Industrials
Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 11, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Union Pacific as the less overvalued of the two: Jiangxi Changyun Co trades at ¥5.78 versus a fair value of ¥1.18 (-80%), while Union Pacific trades at $293 versus $145 (-51%).
Union Pacific has the higher quality score (67/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
