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STOCK COMPARISON

Groundhog vs International Business Machines: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Groundhog (6906) and International Business Machines (IBM) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees International Business Machines as the less overvalued of the two: Groundhog trades at TWD 83.00 versus a fair value of TWD 42.03 (-49%), while International Business Machines trades at $227 versus $187 (-18%).
Groundhog
6906.TW · TWD · Information Technology
-49%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceTWD 83.00
Fair ValueTWD 42.03
Quality68/100
International Business Machines
IBM · USD · Information Technology
-18%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$227
Fair Value$187
Quality63/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

GroundhogInternational Business Machines
Valuation
35.0×P/E (TTM)20.0×
7.43×P/S (TTM)3.13×
3.57×P/B6.63× · book value is mostly goodwill
32.7×EV/EBITDA15.6×
n/aPEG2.19×
−49.4%Fair value upside−17.8%
2.2%Dividend yield3.0%
TWD 1.80Dividend per share$6.73
Profitability
2%Operating margin17%
0.54×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.63×
11%Return on equity34%
4%Return on assets5%
Growth
2%Revenue growth (YoY)1%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)3.7%
7.3%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)n/a
+8.2%Value creation/yr+16.2%
Balance & size
262.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)5.3×
n/aDebt / equity1.68×
$82MMarket cap$216B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

International Business Machines leads: 1 to 11 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Groundhogof which business quality 68 · market factors 37 International Business Machinesof which business quality 61 · market factors 33
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
49
59
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
26
68
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
68
70
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
100
39
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
66
66
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
51
52
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
37
29
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
20
18
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
94
74

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyGroundhogPrice TWD 83.00International Business MachinesPrice $227
DCF Models-46%below the priceTWD 44.58-19%below the price$185
Earnings-Based-65%below the priceTWD 29.35-63%below the price$84.42
Dividend Discount-61%below the priceTWD 32.20-66%below the price$76.12
Multiples-42%below the priceTWD 48.44-10%close to the price$205
Asset-Based-82%below the priceTWD 15.13-90%below the price$23.22
Growth DCF-51%below the priceTWD 40.73-37%below the price$142
Economic Profit-69%below the priceTWD 25.66-63%below the price$84.30
Growth Earnings-49%below the priceTWD 42.03+4%close to the price$236
Minimum-82%below the priceTWD 15.13-90%below the price$23.22
Maximum-42%below the priceTWD 48.44+4%close to the price$236
Median-56%below the priceTWD 36.47-50%below the price$113
Geometric mean-60%below the priceTWD 32.85-53%below the price$106

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Groundhog: 25 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

International Business Machines: 20 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Groundhog
Price TWD 83.00
Fair Value TWD 42.03
Bear TWD 35.10Bull TWD 54.64
International Business Machines
Price $227
Fair Value $187
Bear $121Bull $272

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Groundhog · Information Technology

Quality score68 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-49% · below median

International Business Machines · Information Technology

Quality score63 · above median
Fair value upside-18% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees International Business Machines as the less overvalued of the two: Groundhog trades at TWD 83.00 versus a fair value of TWD 42.03 (-49%), while International Business Machines trades at $227 versus $187 (-18%).

Groundhog has the higher quality score (68/100).

Open International Business Machines live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.