Groundhog Inc (6906) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 2.3B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −11.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (66.48 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range 59.53 TWD – 211.84 TWD · fair‑value band 39.89 TWD – 66.48 TWD · the 71.00 TWD price screens above the 53.19 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Groundhog Inc (6906) currently trades at 71.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 53.19 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 25.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Groundhog Inc generated revenue of 348M TWD at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 647M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 39.89 TWD (bear case) to 66.48 TWD (bull case); at 71.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -25%, 6906 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (51.75 TWD) versus Asset-Based (15.13 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Groundhog Inc. engages in application design, development, implementation, and installation of other information software services on intelligence platform in Taiwan, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Africa, India, Australia, and internationally.
Full company description
Groundhog Inc. engages in application design, development, implementation, and installation of other information software services on intelligence platform in Taiwan, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Africa, India, Australia, and internationally. The company offers CovMo, a cloud-based platform for geo-location; RealMotion, a crowd management solution that provides current and historical mobility insights into near-real-time human movement, empowering tourism, transport, urban planning professionals, as well as government authorities and public safety agencies; MI-DSP, an AI advertising platform; MI-DMP, a market intelligence platform; and DDKT, an audience analytics platform. It also provides mobile network technologies; algorithms and software system development; data mining; network optimization; big data and RAN analytics; mobility and mathematical modeling; time series analysis; cloud computing; customized research. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Groundhog Inc reported revenue of 348M TWD in FY2025 versus 284M TWD in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 61.2M TWD in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.
6906 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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