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STOCK COMPARISON

Archer-Daniels-Midland vs Alico: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) and Alico (ALCO) compare, as of Sep 14, 2026.

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Archer-Daniels-Midland as the less overvalued of the two: Archer-Daniels-Midland trades at $86.72 versus a fair value of $49.20 (-43%), while Alico trades at $39.56 versus $14.56 (-63%).
Archer-Daniels-Midland
ADM · USD · Consumer Staples
-43%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$86.72
Fair Value$49.20
Quality65/100
Alico
ALCO · USD · Consumer Staples
-63%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$39.56
Fair Value$14.56
Quality49/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Archer-Daniels-MidlandAlico
Valuation
37.1×P/E (TTM)—
0.49×P/S (TTM)18.17×
1.74×P/B2.90×
18.2×EV/EBITDA4.7×
2.49×PEG—
−43.3%Fair value upside−63.2%
2.4%Dividend yield0.5%
$2.05Dividend per share$0.20
Profitability
1%Operating margin-146%
0.67×EBIT margin trend (5Y)—
5%Return on equity-16%
2%Return on assets22%
Growth
2%Revenue growth (YoY)-70%
-7.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-21.7%
4.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)-13.8%
−4.3%Value creation/yr—
Balance & size
2.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)—
0.34×Debt / equity0.83×
$40BMarket cap$298M
weakGrowth qualityweak

Archer-Daniels-Midland leads: 8 to 2 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Archer-Daniels-Midlandof which business quality 64 · market factors 77 Alicoof which business quality 51 · market factors 58
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
41
1
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
47
20
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
60
88
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
61
49
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
100
81
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
82
73
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
66
48
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
91
58
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
99
79

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyArcher-Daniels-MidlandPrice $86.72AlicoPrice $39.56
DCF Models-20%below the price$69.32-76%below the price$9.44
Earnings-Based-83%below the price$14.95n/a
Dividend Discount-66%below the price$29.69-96%below the price$1.60
Multiples-56%below the price$38.02-94%below the price$2.55
Asset-Based-64%below the price$31.60-76%below the price$9.31
Growth DCF0%close to the price$86.34-77%below the price$9.09
Economic Profit-70%below the price$25.96n/a
Growth Earnings-56%below the price$37.92n/a
Minimum-83%below the price$14.95-96%below the price$1.60
Maximum0%close to the price$86.34-76%below the price$9.44
Median-60%below the price$34.76-77%below the price$9.09
Geometric mean-58%below the price$36.49-87%below the price$5.04

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Archer-Daniels-Midland: 23 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Alico: 10 of 10 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Archer-Daniels-Midland
Price $86.72
Fair Value $49.20
Bear $36.90Bull $63.78
Alico
Price $39.56
Fair Value $14.56
Bear $10.70Bull $19.68

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Archer-Daniels-Midland · Consumer Staples

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-43% · bottom 25%

Alico · Consumer Staples

Quality score49 · below median
Fair value upside-63% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Archer-Daniels-Midland as the less overvalued of the two: Archer-Daniels-Midland trades at $86.72 versus a fair value of $49.20 (-43%), while Alico trades at $39.56 versus $14.56 (-63%).

Archer-Daniels-Midland has the higher quality score (65/100).

See the full analysis →
Archer-Daniels-Midland · Alico

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.