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Alico, Inc (ALCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $298M

Price$41.02
Fair Value$12.06
Upside-70.6%
Quality92/100
Evidence: Medium Range $8.47 – $17.43

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Alico, Inc (ALCO) currently trades at $41.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.06 — implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management company in the United States. It engages in the grazing and hunting leasing, management, and/or conservation of unimproved native pastureland, and activities related to rock mining royalties and other business; and owning or leasing of improved farmland. The company was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Fort Myers, Florida.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alico, Inc (ALCO) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.06 versus a price of $41.02 — about −71% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ALCO?
Our 21-model fair value for Alico, Inc is $12.06 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $41.02.
What is the quality score of ALCO?
Alico, Inc has a Quality Score of 92/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.