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STOCK COMPARISON

American Electric Power Co vs Duke Energy: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how American Electric Power Co (AEP) and Duke Energy (DUK) compare, as of Oct 30, 2026.

As of Oct 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees American Electric Power Co as the less overvalued of the two: American Electric Power Co trades at $130 versus a fair value of $100 (−23.2%), while Duke Energy trades at $127 versus $75.79 (−40.5%).
American Electric Power Co
AEP · USD · Utilities
−23.2%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$130
Fair Value$100
Quality52/100
Fair ValueQualityUptrend
Duke Energy
DUK · USD · Utilities
−40.5%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$127
Fair Value$75.79
Quality46/100
Fair ValueQualityUptrend
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

American Electric Power CoDuke Energy
Valuation
22.4×P/E (TTM)18.7×
21.8×P/E ex one-offs (FY2025)20.2×
18.9×Forward P/E (FY2027)17.8×
19.2×Median P/E at FY-end (10 FY, ex one-offs where documented)18.5×
3.13×P/S (TTM)2.99×
2.29×P/B1.89×
12.8×EV/EBITDA10.7×
2.37×PEG2.13×
−23.2%Fair value upside−40.5%
2.9%Dividend yield3.4%
$3.78Dividend per share$4.26
Profitability
23.3%Operating margin27.5%
1.22×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.36×
10.1%Return on equity9.9%
3.1%Return on assets2.5%
Growth
7.0%Revenue growth (YoY)1.1%
4.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)3.9%
7.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)6.6%
+13.8%Value creation/yr+8.8%
Balance & size
2.6×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)2.4×
1.42×Debt / equity1.55×
$71BMarket cap$98B
healthyGrowth qualityexpensive
The P/E excluding one-off items is scored: for at least one of the two companies, special items (write-downs, restructuring, litigation) move the reported P/E by 15 % or more. The trailing P/E is shown for reference.
American Electric Power Co, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 19.2. Duke Energy, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 9 of the years ex one-offs: 18.5.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Even match: 8 to 8 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

American Electric Power Co Duke Energy
ProfitabilityHow much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
33
30
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns getting better?
48
36
CashflowDo the profits arrive as real cash?
99
50
Financial strengthDebt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
14
12
InvestmentDoes it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
72
59
Low VolatilityHow calm the share price moves, does not count
96
98
MomentumPrice trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
40
40
Near the 52-week highDistance to the 52-week high, does not count
58
61
New sharesBuys back shares or issues new ones?
43
79

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAmerican Electric Power CoPrice $130Duke EnergyPrice $127
DCF Models−17.1%below the price$108n/a
Earnings-Based−78.6%below the price$27.90−76.1%below the price$30.46
Dividend Discount−51.7%below the price$62.88−37.2%below the price$80.01
Multiples−34.9%below the price$84.83−40.5%below the price$75.79
Asset-Based−70.6%below the price$38.26−77.9%below the price$28.21
Growth DCF+4.8%close to the price$136n/a
Economic Profit−64.9%below the price$45.75−66.0%below the price$43.34
Growth Earnings−25.2%below the price$97.38−23.8%below the price$97.09
Matching families6 of 8
Minimum−78.6%below the price$27.90−77.9%below the price$28.21
Maximum−25.2%below the price$97.38−23.8%below the price$97.09
Median−58.3%below the price$54.31−53.2%below the price$59.56
Geometric mean−58.4%below the price$54.20−58.5%below the price$52.90
Ahead family by family3 of 63 of 6

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean only use the families both stocks have (matching families: 6 of 8), so a family without a value on one side does not distort the comparison. Ahead in a family is the stock whose fair value there sits higher relative to its price. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Family by family: American Electric Power Co is ahead in 3 of 6 shared families, Duke Energy in 3.

American Electric Power Co: 22 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Duke Energy: 14 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

American Electric Power Co
Price $130
Fair Value $100
Bear $54.07Bull $125
Duke Energy
Price $127
Fair Value $75.79
Bear $56.85Bull $123

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

American Electric Power Co · Utilities

Quality score52 · above median
Fair value upside−23.2% · below median

Duke Energy · Utilities

Quality score46 · below median
Fair value upside−40.5% · below median

Bottom line

As of Oct 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees American Electric Power Co as the less overvalued of the two: American Electric Power Co trades at $130 versus a fair value of $100 (−23.2%), while Duke Energy trades at $127 versus $75.79 (−40.5%).

American Electric Power Co has the higher quality score (52/100).

Open American Electric Power Co live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.