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STOCK COMPARISON

AUTO1 Group vs Carvana: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how AUTO1 Group (AG1) and Carvana (CVNA) compare, as of Sep 29, 2026.

As of Sep 29, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Carvana as the less overvalued of the two: AUTO1 Group trades at €18.18 versus a fair value of €4.53 (−75.1%), while Carvana trades at $60.47 versus $25.27 (−58.2%).
AUTO1 Group
AG1.XETRA · EUR · Consumer Discretionary
−75.1%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€18.18
Fair Value€4.53
Quality47/100
Carvana
CVNA · USD · Consumer Discretionary
−58.2%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$60.47
Fair Value$25.27
Quality55/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

AUTO1 GroupCarvana
Valuation
49.1×P/E (TTM)34.0×
n/aP/E ex one-offs (FY2025)35.8×
18.3×Forward P/E (FY2027)26.5×
0.44×P/S (TTM)3.82×
5.68×P/B20.67×
32.7×EV/EBITDA39.5×
−75.1%Fair value upside−58.2%
Profitability
1.5%Operating margin9.2%
11.4%Return on equity58.8%
3.0%Return on assets15.8%
Growth
23.4%Revenue growth (YoY)52.4%
7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)14.3%
23.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)29.5%
n/aValue creation/yr−17.6%
Balance & size
3.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)3.7×
1.87×Debt / equity1.40×
$5BMarket cap$71B
expensiveGrowth qualitymixed
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Carvana leads: 3 to 9 metric wins.

Group holding company: CVNA (74 %) consolidates subsidiaries in full but owns only the stated share. Revenue, EBITDA and margin ratios are therefore restated for its own shareholders; earnings per share, P/E and return on equity already were.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

AUTO1 Groupof which business quality 45 · market factors 18 Carvanaof which business quality 54 · market factors 20
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
46
72
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
55
54
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
0
40
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
45
47
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
66
63
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
1
0
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
33
38
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
11
12
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
84
50

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAUTO1 GroupPrice €18.18CarvanaPrice $60.47
DCF Models−6.7%close to the price€16.97−44.0%below the price$33.84
Earnings-Based−55.3%below the price€8.13+13.1%close to the price$68.40
Multiples−69.4%below the price€5.57−70.9%below the price$17.57
Asset-Based−88.2%below the price€2.14−94.7%below the price$3.20
Growth DCFn/a−46.6%below the price$32.31
Economic Profit−89.4%below the price€1.94−71.7%below the price$17.13
Growth Earnings−40.2%below the price€10.87+50.2%above the price$90.80
Minimum−89.4%below the price€1.94−94.7%below the price$3.20
Maximum−6.7%close to the price€16.97+50.2%above the price$90.80
Median−62.3%below the price€6.85−46.6%below the price$32.31
Geometric mean−68.6%below the price€5.71−58.3%below the price$25.25

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

AUTO1 Group: 15 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

Carvana: 17 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

AUTO1 Group
Price €18.18
Fair Value €4.53
Bear €2.68Bull €10.57
Carvana
Price $60.47
Fair Value $25.27
Bear $14.20Bull $43.58

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

AUTO1 Group · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score47 · below median
Fair value upside−75.1% · bottom 25%

Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score55 · above median
Fair value upside−58.2% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 29, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Carvana as the less overvalued of the two: AUTO1 Group trades at €18.18 versus a fair value of €4.53 (−75.1%), while Carvana trades at $60.47 versus $25.27 (−58.2%).

Carvana has the higher quality score (55/100).

Open Carvana live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.