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STOCK COMPARISON

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings vs SM Prime Holdings: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how AyalaLand Logistics Holdings (ALLHC) and SM Prime Holdings (SMPH) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees SM Prime Holdings as the more attractively valued of the two: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings trades at PHP 1.14 versus a fair value of PHP 0.40 (-65%), while SM Prime Holdings trades at PHP 16.00 versus PHP 16.12 (+1%).
AyalaLand Logistics Holdings
ALLHC.PSE · PHP · Real Estate
-65%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PricePHP 1.14
Fair ValuePHP 0.40
Quality50/100
SM Prime Holdings
SMPH.PSE · PHP · Real Estate
+1%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
PricePHP 16.00
Fair ValuePHP 16.12
Quality63/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

AyalaLand Logistics HoldingsSM Prime Holdings
Valuation
39.1×P/E (TTM)27.6×
−64.9%Fair value upside+0.8%
n/aDividend yield1.3%
Profitability
0%Operating margin0%
1.40×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.01×
0%Return on assets0%
Growth
0%Revenue growth (YoY)0%
6.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)19.5%
-0.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)3.5%
+3.3%Value creation/yr+24.4%
Balance & size
0.17×Debt / equity0.65×
$426MMarket cap$13B
weakGrowth qualitymixed

SM Prime Holdings leads: 2 to 6 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

AyalaLand Logistics Holdingsof which business quality 49 · market factors 35 SM Prime Holdingsof which business quality 59 · market factors 27
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
26
41
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
68
48
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
42
88
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
42
32
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
50
71
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
65
62
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
27
20
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
14
0
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
82
82

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAyalaLand Logistics HoldingsPrice PHP 1.14SM Prime HoldingsPrice PHP 16.00
DCF Models-24%below the pricePHP 0.87+48%above the pricePHP 23.75
Dividend Discountn/a-77%below the pricePHP 3.70
Multiples-38%below the pricePHP 0.71-2%close to the pricePHP 15.61
Asset-Based-63%below the pricePHP 0.42-64%below the pricePHP 5.84
Growth DCF-46%below the pricePHP 0.61+26%above the pricePHP 20.11
Economic Profit-61%below the pricePHP 0.44-45%below the pricePHP 8.73
Minimum-63%below the pricePHP 0.42-77%below the pricePHP 3.70
Maximum-24%below the pricePHP 0.87+48%above the pricePHP 23.75
Median-46%below the pricePHP 0.61-24%below the pricePHP 12.17
Geometric mean-49%below the pricePHP 0.59-34%below the pricePHP 10.58

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings: 10 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

SM Prime Holdings: 7 of 16 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings
Price PHP 1.14
Fair Value PHP 0.40
Bear PHP 0.35Bull PHP 0.40
SM Prime Holdings
Price PHP 16.00
Fair Value PHP 16.12
Bear PHP 8.41Bull PHP 21.74

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings · Real Estate

Quality score50 · below median
Fair value upside-65% · bottom 25%

SM Prime Holdings · Real Estate

Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+1% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees SM Prime Holdings as the more attractively valued of the two: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings trades at PHP 1.14 versus a fair value of PHP 0.40 (-65%), while SM Prime Holdings trades at PHP 16.00 versus PHP 16.12 (+1%).

SM Prime Holdings has the higher quality score (63/100).

Open SM Prime Holdings live analysis →

More comparisons

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.