SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what SM Prime Holdings Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 16.50 PHP – 37.42 PHP · fair‑value band 8.73 PHP – 20.85 PHP · the 16.50 PHP price screens below the 16.68 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH) currently trades at 16.50 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.68 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 26.35 PHP per share, and 9 of the 16 models we run sit above the 16.50 PHP price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.67 PHP, and 7 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 8.73 PHP (bear) to 20.85 PHP (bull), the price of 16.50 PHP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SM Prime Holdings Inc reported revenue of 140B PHP in FY2024 versus 81.9B PHP in FY2020, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 45.6B PHP in FY2024, compounding +26.2%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 807B PHP (≈ $12.8B) · P/E ratio 27.6 · P/S ratio 8.97 · EPS (TTM) 1.01 PHP · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 32.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 63% fair-value upside, at 1%, SMPH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 8.73 PHPFair Value 16.68 PHPBull 20.85 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.01 PHP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+24.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.48% → 49%
2024 sits 52% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Operations · 37 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.65× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Operations median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SM Prime Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMPH
Frequently asked questions
Is SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.68 PHP versus a price of 16.50 PHP, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SMPH?
Our model-based fair value for SM Prime Holdings Inc is 16.68 PHP (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.50 PHP.
What is the quality score of SMPH?
SM Prime Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.68 PHP (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.73 PHP, optimistic scenario 20.85 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SM Prime Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.68 PHP, about +1% upside versus a price of 16.50 PHP (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 8.73 PHP, optimistic scenario 20.85 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does SM Prime Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
SM Prime Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SM Prime Holdings Inc it is 16.68 PHP per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of 16.50 PHP. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SM Prime Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, SMPH trades below its calculated fair value: price 16.50 PHP, fair value 16.68 PHP, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMPH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.50 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.68 PHP). For SM Prime Holdings Inc the two are 0.1800 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SM Prime Holdings Inc worth?
The market values SM Prime Holdings Inc at about 807B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is 16.50 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 16.68 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMPH?
Our models span a range for SM Prime Holdings Inc: cautious scenario 8.73 PHP, base 16.68 PHP, optimistic 20.85 PHP per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price 16.50 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMPH?
SM Prime Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.6 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16.68 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
Balance-sheet figures for SM Prime Holdings Inc (as of Sep 18, 2026): debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMPH from its 52-week high?
SM Prime Holdings Inc trades at 16.50 PHP, about 33% below its 52-week high of 24.76 PHP (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.68 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SM Prime Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value AC, MEG, DDPR, ALLHC, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SM Prime Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price 16.50 PHP, calculated fair value 16.68 PHP (+1%), Quality Score 63/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMPH calculated?
We run SM Prime Holdings Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.68 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SM Prime Holdings Inc currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was 16.50 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 16.68 PHP, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SM Prime Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (8.73 PHP to 20.85 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of SM Prime Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
The market capitalisation of SM Prime Holdings Inc is 807B PHP (≈ $12.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SM Prime Holdings Inc is 8.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
Earnings per share at SM Prime Holdings Inc are 1.01 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
The dividend yield of SM Prime Holdings Inc is 1.3% (payout 21.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
The net margin of SM Prime Holdings Inc is 32.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SM Prime Holdings Inc (SMPH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SM Prime Holdings Inc is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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