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STOCK COMPARISON

Aygaz AS vs Naturgy Energy Group: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Aygaz AS (AYGAZ) and Naturgy Energy Group (NTGY) compare, as of Sep 14, 2026.

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Naturgy Energy Group as the more attractively valued of the two: Aygaz AS trades at TRY 328 versus a fair value of TRY 242 (-26%), while Naturgy Energy Group trades at €29.48 versus €30.66 (+4%).
Aygaz AS
AYGAZ.IS · TRY · Utilities
-26%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceTRY 328
Fair ValueTRY 242
Quality45/100
Naturgy Energy Group
NTGY.MC · EUR · Utilities
+4%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price€29.48
Fair Value€30.66
Quality55/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Aygaz ASNaturgy Energy Group
Valuation
14.0×P/E (TTM)13.5×
0.79×P/S (TTM)1.63×
0.84×P/B3.32×
14.9×EV/EBITDA7.9×
5.54×PEG6.40×
−26.2%Fair value upside+4.0%
3.9%Dividend yield6.3%
TRY 12.55Dividend per share
Profitability
2%Operating margin18%
0.85×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.42×
6%Return on equity22%
2%Return on assets6%
Growth
-14%Revenue growth (YoY)-7%
88.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
60.0%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+74.5%Value creation/yr+15.4%
Balance & size
3.5×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.1×
0.01×Debt / equity1.38×
$1BMarket cap$31B
expensiveGrowth qualitymixed

Naturgy Energy Group leads: 5 to 9 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Aygaz ASof which business quality 47 · market factors 88 Naturgy Energy Groupof which business quality 52 · market factors 71
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
43
45
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
47
37
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
10
67
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
70
30
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
33
71
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
68
94
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
94
55
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
73
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
82
76

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAygaz ASPrice TRY 328Naturgy Energy GroupPrice €29.48
DCF Models-37%below the priceTRY 206+4%close to the price€30.77
Earnings-Based+5%close to the priceTRY 345-10%close to the price€26.55
Dividend Discount-20%below the priceTRY 263-21%below the price€23.41
Multiples-11%close to the priceTRY 291+36%above the price€40.20
Asset-Based-35%below the priceTRY 212-77%below the price€6.76
Growth DCF-68%below the priceTRY 105+11%close to the price€32.80
Economic Profit-38%below the priceTRY 203-29%below the price€20.95
Growth Earnings+47%above the priceTRY 483+4%close to the price€30.66
Minimum-68%below the priceTRY 105-77%below the price€6.76
Maximum+47%above the priceTRY 483+36%above the price€40.20
Median-28%below the priceTRY 237-3%close to the price€28.60
Geometric mean-26%below the priceTRY 242-19%below the price€23.98

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Aygaz AS: 15 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Naturgy Energy Group: 13 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Aygaz AS
Price TRY 328
Fair Value TRY 242
Bear TRY 155Bull TRY 257
Naturgy Energy Group
Price €29.48
Fair Value €30.66
Bear €18.13Bull €40.28

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Aygaz AS · Utilities

Quality score45 · below median
Fair value upside-26% · below median

Naturgy Energy Group · Utilities

Quality score55 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+4% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Naturgy Energy Group as the more attractively valued of the two: Aygaz AS trades at TRY 328 versus a fair value of TRY 242 (-26%), while Naturgy Energy Group trades at €29.48 versus €30.66 (+4%).

Naturgy Energy Group has the higher quality score (55/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.