EN DE
STOCK COMPARISON

Boeing vs Union Pacific: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Boeing (BA) and Union Pacific (UNP) compare, as of Sep 4, 2026.

As of Sep 4, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Union Pacific as the less overvalued of the two: Boeing trades at $211 versus a fair value of $41.73 (-80%), while Union Pacific trades at $289 versus $141 (-51%).
Boeing
BA · USD · Industrials
-80%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$211
Fair Value$41.73
Quality38/100
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$289
Fair Value$141
Quality67/100
Get comparisons like this free by email every month: the most undervalued quality stocks.

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

BoeingUnion Pacific
Valuation
82.8×P/E (TTM)24.6×
1.86×P/S (TTM)7.25×
31.38×P/B9.70×
EV/EBITDA16.5×
23.35×PEG3.64×
−80.2%Fair value upside−51.1%
0.2%Dividend yield1.9%
Dividend per share$5.48
Profitability
2%Operating margin40%
EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.00×
170%Return on equity41%
-2%Return on assets9%
Growth
14%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
10.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.5%
9.0%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)4.6%
Value creation/yr+9.4%
Balance & size
Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.5×
8.37×Debt / equity1.64×
$171BMarket cap$179B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy

Union Pacific leads: 3 to 9 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Boeingof which business quality 33 · market factors 41 Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 70
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
37
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
100
57
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
7
71
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
9
40
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
79
47
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
53
74
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
38
62
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
33
78
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
0
100

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyBoeingPrice $211Union PacificPrice $289
DCF Modelsn/a-58%below the price$122
Earnings-Based-86%below the price$30.22-66%below the price$97.30
Dividend Discount-97%below the price$6.51n/a
Multiples-77%below the price$48.20-38%below the price$180
Asset-Based-98%below the price$4.64-93%below the price$20.84
Growth DCFn/a-76%below the price$69.97
Economic Profit-82%below the price$38.91-58%below the price$121
Growth Earnings-77%below the price$49.09-29%below the price$204
Minimum-98%below the price$4.64-93%below the price$20.84
Maximum-77%below the price$49.09-29%below the price$204
Median-84%below the price$34.56-58%below the price$121
Geometric mean-90%below the price$20.93-67%below the price$96.44

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Boeing: 10 of 10 models see the stock below the current price.

Union Pacific: 23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Boeing
Bear $29.21Fair Value $41.73Bull $63.26
$211 = current price (white tick)
Union Pacific
Bear $87.76Fair Value $141Bull $266
$289 = current price (white tick)

Compare two other stocks

Tap a field and type again, ticker or company name.

Free, no sign-up

Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Boeing · Industrials

Quality score38 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-80% · bottom 25%

Union Pacific · Industrials

Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 4, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Union Pacific as the less overvalued of the two: Boeing trades at $211 versus a fair value of $41.73 (-80%), while Union Pacific trades at $289 versus $141 (-51%).

Union Pacific has the higher quality score (67/100).

See the full analysis →

More comparisons

Popular match-ups from the same sectors, all with fair value and quality score.

Free · Top-25 report

See the undervalued quality stocks every month

Just your email for the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks, with fair value, quality and price target. Plus 14 days of Pro to try, no card.

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click. Not financial advice.

A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.