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STOCK COMPARISON

BHP Group vs Boliden AB: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how BHP Group (BHP) and Boliden AB (BOL) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Boliden AB as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £33.45 versus a fair value of £19.35 (-42%), while Boliden AB trades at SEK 548 versus SEK 461 (-16%).
BHP Group
BHP.LSE · GBX · Materials
-42%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price£33.45
Fair Value£19.35
Quality64/100
Boliden AB
BOL.ST · SEK · Materials
-16%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSEK 548
Fair ValueSEK 461
Quality50/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

BHP GroupBoliden AB
Valuation
19.8×P/E (TTM)13.2×
3.86×P/S (TTM)1.46×
4.51×P/B1.91×
8.2×EV/EBITDA6.5×
PEG2.98×
−42.2%Fair value upside−15.7%
4.0%Dividend yield2.0%
£1.33Dividend per shareSEK 11.00
Profitability
41%Operating margin19%
1.19×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.84×
25%Return on equity15%
12%Return on assets7%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)32%
-7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)2.7%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)10.7%
+6.1%Value creation/yr+8.1%
Balance & size
10.4×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)8.6×
0.44×Debt / equity0.29×
$208BMarket cap$15B
weakGrowth qualityhealthy

Boliden AB leads: 5 to 10 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

BHP Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 78 Boliden ABof which business quality 51 · market factors 59
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
58
42
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
34
39
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
75
53
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
67
69
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
61
34
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
70
42
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
73
58
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
96
81
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
62

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyBHP GroupPrice £33.45Boliden ABPrice SEK 548
DCF Models-19%below the price£27.19-16%below the priceSEK 457
Earnings-Based-25%below the price£25.15-43%below the priceSEK 314
Dividend Discount-41%below the price£19.67n/a
Multiples-14%close to the price£28.74+3%close to the priceSEK 563
Asset-Based-82%below the price£6.10-67%below the priceSEK 181
Growth DCF-33%below the price£22.49-29%below the priceSEK 389
Economic Profit-38%below the price£20.84-35%below the priceSEK 355
Growth Earnings-24%below the price£25.38-15%below the priceSEK 464
Minimum-82%below the price£6.10-67%below the priceSEK 181
Maximum-14%close to the price£28.74+3%close to the priceSEK 563
Median-29%below the price£23.82-29%below the priceSEK 389
Geometric mean-40%below the price£20.23-33%below the priceSEK 369

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

BHP Group: 21 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Boliden AB: 17 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

BHP Group
Bear £12.88Fair Value £19.35Bull £27.71
£33.45 = current price (white tick)
Boliden AB
Bear SEK 249Fair Value SEK 461Bull SEK 704
SEK 548 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

BHP Group · Materials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-42% · below median

Boliden AB · Materials

Quality score50 · above median
Fair value upside-16% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Boliden AB as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £33.45 versus a fair value of £19.35 (-42%), while Boliden AB trades at SEK 548 versus SEK 461 (-16%).

BHP Group has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.