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STOCK COMPARISON

BHP Group vs Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how BHP Group (BHP) and Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A (GEPA3) compare, as of Sep 22, 2026.

As of Sep 22, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A as the more attractively valued of the two: BHP Group trades at £32.05 versus a fair value of £18.99 (-41%), while Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A trades at BRL 33.19 versus BRL 36.40 (+10%).
BHP Group
BHP.LSE · GBX · Materials
-41%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price£32.05
Fair Value£18.99
Quality64/100
Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A
GEPA3.SA · BRL · Utilities
+10%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
PriceBRL 33.19
Fair ValueBRL 36.40
Quality49/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

BHP GroupRio Paranapanema Energia S.A
Valuation
19.8×P/E (TTM)173.2×
3.85×P/S (TTM)—
4.50×P/B—
8.2×EV/EBITDA—
—PEG6.02×
−40.7%Fair value upside+9.7%
4.0%Dividend yield3.8%
£1.33Dividend per shareBRL 1.27
Profitability
41%Operating margin46%
1.19×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.33×
25%Return on equity18%
12%Return on assets7%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)27%
-7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-2.7%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)-2.8%
+6.1%Value creation/yr−8.2%
Balance & size
10.4×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)3.3×
0.44×Debt / equity0.50×
$208BMarket cap$606M
weakGrowth qualityweak
Valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are shown but not scored here: the two companies sit in different sectors, and multiples only compare fairly between similar business models. PEG stays scored, as it relates the P/E to growth.

BHP Group leads: 7 to 3 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

BHP Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 78 Rio Paranapanema Energia S.Aof which business quality 46 · market factors 63
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
58
47
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
34
20
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
75
47
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
67
29
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
61
59
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
69
60
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
77
56
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
92
78
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
81
82

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyBHP GroupPrice £32.05Rio Paranapanema Energia S.APrice BRL 33.19
DCF Models-15%below the price£27.19n/a
Earnings-Based-22%below the price£25.15-6%close to the priceBRL 31.24
Dividend Discount-39%below the price£19.67+39%above the priceBRL 46.14
Multiples-10%close to the price£28.74+22%above the priceBRL 40.58
Asset-Based-81%below the price£6.10-73%below the priceBRL 8.80
Growth DCF-30%below the price£22.49n/a
Economic Profit-35%below the price£20.84-22%below the priceBRL 25.86
Growth Earnings-21%below the price£25.38+10%close to the priceBRL 36.40
Minimum-81%below the price£6.10-73%below the priceBRL 8.80
Maximum-10%close to the price£28.74+39%above the priceBRL 46.14
Median-26%below the price£23.82+2%close to the priceBRL 33.82
Geometric mean-37%below the price£20.23-16%below the priceBRL 28.02

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

BHP Group: 21 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A: 7 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

BHP Group
Price £32.05
Fair Value £18.99
Bear £13.01Bull £26.66
Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A
Price BRL 33.19
Fair Value BRL 36.40
Bear BRL 25.48Bull BRL 44.17

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

BHP Group · Materials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-41% · below median

Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A · Utilities

Quality score49 · above median
Fair value upside+10% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 22, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A as the more attractively valued of the two: BHP Group trades at £32.05 versus a fair value of £18.99 (-41%), while Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A trades at BRL 33.19 versus BRL 36.40 (+10%).

BHP Group has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →
BHP Group · Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.