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STOCK COMPARISON

Cadogan Petroleum vs ConocoPhillips: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) and ConocoPhillips (COP) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Cadogan Petroleum as the less overvalued of the two: Cadogan Petroleum trades at £0.04 versus a fair value of £0.03 (-20%), while ConocoPhillips trades at $129 versus $90.15 (-30%).
Cadogan Petroleum
CAD.LSE · GBX · Energy
-20%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price£0.04
Fair Value£0.03
Quality49/100
ConocoPhillips
COP · USD · Energy
-30%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$129
Fair Value$90.15
Quality58/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Cadogan PetroleumConocoPhillips
Valuation
n/aP/E (TTM)21.7×
n/aP/E ex one-offs (FY2025)21.0×
2.31×P/S (TTM)2.73×
0.48×P/B2.51×
n/aEV/EBITDA7.6×
n/aPEG0.94×
−20.0%Fair value upside−30.3%
n/aDividend yield2.5%
n/aDividend per share$3.24
Profitability
-65%Operating margin22%
-4%Return on equity11%
-5%Return on assets6%
Growth
-36%Revenue growth (YoY)-5%
-11.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-9.3%
2.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)25.6%
n/aValue creation/yr+3.7%
Balance & size
n/aInterest coverage (EBIT/interest)9.3×
n/aDebt / equity0.34×
$13MMarket cap$162B
weakGrowth qualityweak
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.

ConocoPhillips leads: 3 to 4 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Cadogan Petroleumof which business quality 49 · market factors 47 ConocoPhillipsof which business quality 61 · market factors 75
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
4
42
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
40
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
33
96
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
100
69
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
67
62
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
71
82
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
38
67
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
35
80
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
58
54

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyCadogan PetroleumPrice £0.04ConocoPhillipsPrice $129
DCF Modelsn/a+8%close to the price$140
Earnings-Basedn/a-67%below the price$42.34
Dividend Discountn/a-57%below the price$54.97
Multiplesn/a-33%below the price$86.74
Asset-Based+75%above the price£0.07-73%below the price$35.46
Growth DCFn/a+23%above the price$159
Economic Profitn/a-58%below the price$54.19
Growth Earningsn/a-37%below the price$81.65
Minimum+75%above the price£0.07-73%below the price$35.46
Maximum+75%above the price£0.07+23%above the price$159
Median+75%above the price£0.07-47%below the price$68.31
Geometric mean+75%above the price£0.07-44%below the price$71.81

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Cadogan Petroleum: 0 of 1 models see the stock below the current price.

ConocoPhillips: 20 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Cadogan Petroleum
Price £0.04
Fair Value £0.03
Bear £0.03Bull £0.04
ConocoPhillips
Price $129
Fair Value $90.15
Bear $67.61Bull $131

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Cadogan Petroleum · Energy

Quality score49 · below median
Fair value upside-20% · below median

ConocoPhillips · Energy

Quality score58 · above median
Fair value upside-30% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Cadogan Petroleum as the less overvalued of the two: Cadogan Petroleum trades at £0.04 versus a fair value of £0.03 (-20%), while ConocoPhillips trades at $129 versus $90.15 (-30%).

ConocoPhillips has the higher quality score (58/100).

Open Cadogan Petroleum live analysis →
Cadogan Petroleum · ConocoPhillips

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.