Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC (CAD) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · GB · Market cap £9.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0115 – £0.0595 · fair‑value band £0.0309 – £0.0384 · the £0.0375 price screens above the £0.0347 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC (CAD) currently trades at £0.0375, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0347, implying the stock looks roughly 7.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC generated revenue of £5.8M at a net margin of -19.6%. Revenue declined 35.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £7.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.0309 (bear case) to £0.0384 (bull case); at £0.0375, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -7%, CAD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC operates as an energy company in Ukraine. It operates through exploration and production and Trading segments. The company focuses on investing to install power generation capacity with a total of 12.3 MW on various locations in Western Ukraine.
Full company description
Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC operates as an energy company in Ukraine. It operates through exploration and production and Trading segments. The company focuses on investing to install power generation capacity with a total of 12.3 MW on various locations in Western Ukraine. It also engages in the exploration and production licenses for natural gas, oil and condensate, as well as import of natural gas. The company was formerly known as Cadogan Petroleum plc. Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC was incorporated in 2004 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC reported revenue of £5.8M in FY2025 versus £8.8M in FY2021, a compound −9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −£1.1M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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