EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Cadogan Petroleum plc £0.03, price £0.04, upside -20.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · GB · ISIN GB00B12WC938

CP Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Cadogan Petroleum plc

CAD · LSE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value £0.0320 · Overvalued (−20%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -19.6% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 7 out of 100
Watch Cadogan Petroleum plc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£0.0595 £0.0115 Fair Value £0.0320 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.0115 – £0.0595 · fair‑value band £0.0280 – £0.0360 · the £0.0400 price screens above the £0.0320 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

Follow Cadogan Petroleum in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Cadogan Petroleum is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC operates as an energy company in Ukraine. It operates through exploration and production and Trading segments. The company focuses on investing to install power generation capacity with a total of 12.3 MW on various locations in Western Ukraine.

Show more

Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC operates as an energy company in Ukraine. It operates through exploration and production and Trading segments. The company focuses on investing to install power generation capacity with a total of 12.3 MW on various locations in Western Ukraine. It also engages in the exploration and production licenses for natural gas, oil and condensate, as well as import of natural gas. The company was formerly known as Cadogan Petroleum plc. Cadogan Energy Solutions PLC was incorporated in 2004 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD) currently trades at £0.0400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0320, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: £0.0280 (bear) to £0.0360 (bull), the price of £0.0400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Cadogan Petroleum plc reported revenue of $5.8M in FY2025 versus $8.8M in FY2021, a compound −9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap £10.1M · P/S ratio 1.63 · Net margin −19.6% · Return on equity −4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.2% · Operating margin −65.5% · Revenue (TTM) $5.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) −35.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −20%, CAD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.0280 Fair Value £0.0320 Bull £0.0360
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) £0.0600 £0.0700 £0.1100 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.0600 £0.0700 £0.1100 51

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when CAD reaches fair value

Put CAD on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 5/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −22.6% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.4% (2020) → −45.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CAD screens 25% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

Compare Cadogan Petroleum plc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −65% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −36% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.48× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.31× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)7 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 74

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.34 HK$39.89 +71%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $125.27 $90.15 −28%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.77 $52.55 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.52 $165.02 +18%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.31 $33.34 −41%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $184.50 $242.64 +32%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.93 $51.62 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.81 $55.89 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $355.24 $318.28 −10%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Energy stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cadogan Petroleum plc · Fair Value
£0.0320 −25%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cadogan Petroleum plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAD

Frequently asked questions

Is Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0320 versus a price of £0.0400, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CAD?
Our model-based fair value for Cadogan Petroleum plc is £0.0320 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.0400.
What is the quality score of CAD?
Cadogan Petroleum plc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.0320 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.0280, optimistic scenario £0.0360. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cadogan Petroleum plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.0320, about −20% upside versus a price of £0.0400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.0280, optimistic scenario £0.0360. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
Cadogan Petroleum plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cadogan Petroleum plc it is £0.0320 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.0400. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cadogan Petroleum plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CAD trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.0400, fair value £0.0320, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.0400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.0320). For Cadogan Petroleum plc the two are £0.0080 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cadogan Petroleum plc worth?
The market values Cadogan Petroleum plc at about £10.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.0400; our models calculate a fair value of £0.0320 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CAD?
Our models span a range for Cadogan Petroleum plc: cautious scenario £0.0280, base £0.0320, optimistic £0.0360 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.0400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cadogan Petroleum plc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAD from its 52-week high?
Cadogan Petroleum plc trades at £0.0400, about 24% below its 52-week high of £0.0525 and 14% above the low of £0.0350 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.0320 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cadogan Petroleum plc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cadogan Petroleum plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.0400, calculated fair value £0.0320 (−20%), Quality Score 45/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAD calculated?
We run Cadogan Petroleum plc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.0320, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Cadogan Petroleum plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.0400. Our model-based fair value is £0.0320, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cadogan Petroleum plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.0360). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Cadogan Petroleum plc

How large is the market capitalisation of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
The market capitalisation of Cadogan Petroleum plc is £10.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cadogan Petroleum plc is 1.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
The net margin of Cadogan Petroleum plc is −19.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cadogan Petroleum plc is −4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cadogan Petroleum plc is −6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
The operating margin of Cadogan Petroleum plc is −65.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
Revenue at Cadogan Petroleum plc is growing −35.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD)?
Earnings per share at Cadogan Petroleum plc are growing +303% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD) generate?
The free cash flow of Cadogan Petroleum plc is −$12.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cadogan Petroleum plc (CAD) hold?
Cadogan Petroleum plc holds more cash than debt, $7.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Cadogan Petroleum plc in the live analysis

One click puts Cadogan Petroleum plc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.