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STOCK COMPARISON

Carnarvon Energy vs Cnooc: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Carnarvon Energy (CVN) and Cnooc (0883) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Cnooc as the more attractively valued of the two: Carnarvon Energy trades at A$0.10 versus a fair value of A$0.08 (-18%), while Cnooc trades at HK$23.40 versus HK$26.35 (+13%).
Carnarvon Energy
CVN.AU · AUD · Energy
-18%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$0.10
Fair ValueA$0.08
Quality54/100
Cnooc
0883.HK · HKD · Energy
+13%
upside to fair value
undervalued
PriceHK$23.40
Fair ValueHK$26.35
Quality63/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Carnarvon EnergyCnooc
Valuation
P/E (TTM)7.7×
P/S (TTM)2.67×
0.49×P/B1.35×
EV/EBITDA4.3×
0.74×PEG0.16×
Dividend yield5.0%
Dividend per shareHK$1.15
Profitability
0%Net margin31%
-77%Operating margin45%
-2%Return on equity15%
-1%Return on assets9%
Growth
-74%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
-24.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.7%
-25.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)20.0%
Balance & size
Debt / equity0.07×
$133MMarket cap$139B
weakGrowth qualityexpensive

Cnooc leads: 1 to 8 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Carnarvon Energyof which business quality 54 · market factors 36 Cnoocof which business quality 64 · market factors 58
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
11
55
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
58
36
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
14
76
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
100
84
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
99
40
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
50
83
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
35
42
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
22
58
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
66
79

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Carnarvon Energy

DCF ModelsA$0.14
Earnings-BasedA$0.07
MultiplesA$0.03
Asset-BasedA$0.10
Growth DCFA$0.10
Economic ProfitA$0.08
Growth EarningsA$0.08

6 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

Cnooc

DCF ModelsHK$41.36
Earnings-BasedHK$27.87
Dividend DiscountHK$25.25
MultiplesHK$33.44
Asset-BasedHK$12.08
Growth DCFHK$33.29
Economic ProfitHK$32.53
Growth EarningsHK$33.61

8 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Carnarvon Energy
Bear A$0.06Fair Value A$0.08Bull A$0.08
A$0.10 = current price (white tick)
Cnooc
Bear HK$19.80Fair Value HK$26.35Bull HK$33.85
HK$23.40 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Carnarvon Energy · Energy

Quality score54 · above median
Fair value upside-18% · above median

Cnooc · Energy

Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+13% · above median

Bottom line

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Cnooc as the more attractively valued of the two: Carnarvon Energy trades at A$0.10 versus a fair value of A$0.08 (-18%), while Cnooc trades at HK$23.40 versus HK$26.35 (+13%).

Cnooc has the higher quality score (63/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.