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STOCK COMPARISON

Casella Waste Systems vs Waste Management: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Casella Waste Systems (CWST) and Waste Management (WM) compare, as of Sep 14, 2026.

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Waste Management as the more attractively valued of the two: Casella Waste Systems trades at $89.91 versus a fair value of $11.36 (-87%), while Waste Management trades at $213 versus $235 (+10%).
Casella Waste Systems
CWST · USD · Industrials
-87%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$89.91
Fair Value$11.36
Quality29/100
Waste Management
WM · USD · Industrials
+10%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$213
Fair Value$235
Quality56/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Casella Waste SystemsWaste Management
Valuation
876.9×P/E (TTM)33.8×
3.27×P/S (TTM)3.69×
3.91×P/B9.38×
17.6×EV/EBITDA15.1×
3.29×PEG2.38×
−87.4%Fair value upside+10.0%
—Dividend yield1.6%
—Dividend per share$3.42
Profitability
3%Operating margin18%
0.58×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.12×
0%Return on equity30%
2%Return on assets7%
Growth
10%Revenue growth (YoY)4%
19.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)8.6%
18.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)10.6%
−8.7%Value creation/yr+13.8%
Balance & size
1.5×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)5.1×
0.72×Debt / equity2.22×
$6BMarket cap$94B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

Waste Management leads: 5 to 10 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Casella Waste Systemsof which business quality 35 · market factors 47 Waste Managementof which business quality 54 · market factors 54
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
20
50
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
60
56
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
49
64
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
46
34
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
12
35
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
69
94
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
40
37
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
37
36
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
10
85

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyCasella Waste SystemsPrice $89.91Waste ManagementPrice $213
DCF Models-89%below the price$10.29-49%below the price$108
Earnings-Based-99%below the price$1.24-62%below the price$80.38
Multiples-97%below the price$2.55-40%below the price$127
Asset-Based-81%below the price$16.78-92%below the price$16.67
Growth DCF-91%below the price$8.13-55%below the price$95.15
Economic Profit-83%below the price$15.10-67%below the price$71.06
Growth Earnings-98%below the price$2.16-40%below the price$128
Minimum-99%below the price$1.24-92%below the price$16.67
Maximum-81%below the price$16.78-40%below the price$128
Median-91%below the price$8.13-55%below the price$95.15
Geometric mean-94%below the price$5.46-64%below the price$76.95

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Casella Waste Systems: 20 of 20 models see the stock below the current price.

Waste Management: 23 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Casella Waste Systems
Price $89.91
Fair Value $11.36
Bear $2.27Bull $11.36
Waste Management
Price $213
Fair Value $235
Bear $91.89Bull $412

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Casella Waste Systems · Industrials

Quality score29 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-87% · bottom 25%

Waste Management · Industrials

Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside+10% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Waste Management as the more attractively valued of the two: Casella Waste Systems trades at $89.91 versus a fair value of $11.36 (-87%), while Waste Management trades at $213 versus $235 (+10%).

Waste Management has the higher quality score (56/100).

See the full analysis →
Casella Waste Systems · Waste Management

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.