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STOCK COMPARISON

Expeditors International of Washington vs United Parcel Service: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) and United Parcel Service (UPS) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the more attractively valued of the two: Expeditors International of Washington trades at $179 versus a fair value of $116 (-35%), while United Parcel Service trades at $103 versus $105 (+1%).
Expeditors International of Washington
EXPD · USD · Industrials
-35%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$179
Fair Value$116
Quality80/100
United Parcel Service
UPS · USD · Industrials
+1%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price$103
Fair Value$105
Quality63/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Expeditors International of WashingtonUnited Parcel Service
Valuation
27.8×P/E (TTM)19.0×
2.01×P/S (TTM)1.13×
9.55×P/B6.14×
18.6×EV/EBITDA9.9×
3.96×PEG1.85×
0.9%Dividend yield5.6%
$1.54Dividend per share$6.56
Profitability
7%Net margin6%
11%Operating margin6%
37%Return on equity33%
14%Return on assets7%
Growth
4%Revenue growth (YoY)-2%
-13.4%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.9%
2.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)1.0%
Balance & size
—Debt / equity1.45×
$22BMarket cap$100B
healthyGrowth qualityweak

United Parcel Service leads: 6 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Expeditors International of Washingtonof which business quality 79 · market factors 77 United Parcel Serviceof which business quality 59 · market factors 60
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
79
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
54
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
59
45
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
92
47
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
100
95
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
61
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
75
56
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
99
65
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
89

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Expeditors International of Washington

DCF Models$147
Earnings-Based$70.58
Dividend Discount$27.91
Multiples$117
Asset-Based$12.07
Growth DCF$153
Economic Profit$75.39
Growth Earnings$108

25 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

United Parcel Service

DCF Models$101
Earnings-Based$69.77
Multiples$138
Asset-Based$14.56
Growth DCF$89.84
Economic Profit$77.20
Growth Earnings$121

11 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Expeditors International of Washington
Bear $88.38Fair Value $116Bull $144
$179 = current price (white tick)
United Parcel Service
Bear $58.10Fair Value $105Bull $165
$103 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Expeditors International of Washington · Industrials

Quality score80 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-35% · below median

United Parcel Service · Industrials

Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+1% · above median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the more attractively valued of the two: Expeditors International of Washington trades at $179 versus a fair value of $116 (-35%), while United Parcel Service trades at $103 versus $105 (+1%).

Expeditors International of Washington has the higher quality score (80/100).

See the full analysis →
Expeditors International of Washington · United Parcel Service

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.