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STOCK COMPARISON

HCA Healthcare vs Lifestance Health Group: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how HCA Healthcare (HCA) and Lifestance Health Group (LFST) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees HCA Healthcare as the more attractively valued of the two: HCA Healthcare trades at $409 versus a fair value of $548 (+34%), while Lifestance Health Group trades at $12.83 versus $0.56 (-96%).
HCA Healthcare
HCA · USD · Health Care
+34%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$409
Fair Value$548
Quality71/100
Lifestance Health Group
LFST · USD · Health Care
-96%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$12.83
Fair Value$0.56
Quality58/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

HCA HealthcareLifestance Health Group
Valuation
14.2×P/E (TTM)188.2×
1.06×P/S (TTM)2.88×
—P/B2.83×
7.8×EV/EBITDA43.2×
1.18×PEG—
+33.8%Fair value upside−95.6%
0.7%Dividend yield—
$2.94Dividend per share—
Profitability
15%Operating margin6%
1.12×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.25×
136%Return on equity2%
12%Return on assets1%
Growth
4%Revenue growth (YoY)21%
7.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)18.3%
8.0%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)30.4%
+22.7%Value creation/yr+8.5%
Balance & size
5.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)2.2×
—Debt / equity0.18×
$81BMarket cap$4B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

HCA Healthcare leads: 9 to 2 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

HCA Healthcareof which business quality 66 · market factors 43 Lifestance Health Groupof which business quality 58 · market factors 81
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
76
26
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
61
62
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
62
63
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
39
67
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
75
98
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
58
36
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
37
100
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
35
100
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
49

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyHCA HealthcarePrice $409Lifestance Health GroupPrice $12.83
DCF Models+33%above the price$546-68%below the price$4.12
Earnings-Based-29%below the price$289-95%below the price$0.61
Dividend Discount-87%below the price$53.85n/a
Multiples+64%above the price$673-95%below the price$0.70
Asset-Basedn/a-79%below the price$2.67
Growth DCF+32%above the price$540-59%below the price$5.27
Economic Profit+2%close to the price$419-88%below the price$1.51
Growth Earnings+24%above the price$506-94%below the price$0.81
Minimum-87%below the price$53.85-95%below the price$0.61
Maximum+64%above the price$673-59%below the price$5.27
Median+24%above the price$506-88%below the price$1.51
Geometric mean-14%close to the price$351-87%below the price$1.63

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

HCA Healthcare: 6 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Lifestance Health Group: 24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

HCA Healthcare
Bear $260Fair Value $548Bull $841
$409 = current price (white tick)
Lifestance Health Group
Bear $0.48Fair Value $0.56Bull $0.70
$12.83 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

HCA Healthcare · Health Care

Quality score71 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+34% · Top 25%

Lifestance Health Group · Health Care

Quality score58 · above median
Fair value upside-96% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees HCA Healthcare as the more attractively valued of the two: HCA Healthcare trades at $409 versus a fair value of $548 (+34%), while Lifestance Health Group trades at $12.83 versus $0.56 (-96%).

HCA Healthcare has the higher quality score (71/100).

See the full analysis →
HCA Healthcare · Lifestance Health Group

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.