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STOCK COMPARISON

Warrior Met Coal vs SunCoke Energy: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Warrior Met Coal (HCC) and SunCoke Energy (SXC) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees SunCoke Energy as the less overvalued of the two: Warrior Met Coal trades at $88.95 versus a fair value of $28.76 (-68%), while SunCoke Energy trades at $9.75 versus $5.72 (-41%).
Warrior Met Coal
HCC · USD · Materials
-68%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$88.95
Fair Value$28.76
Quality39/100
SunCoke Energy
SXC · USD · Materials
-41%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$9.75
Fair Value$5.72
Quality36/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Warrior Met CoalSunCoke Energy
Valuation
21.4×P/E (TTM)n/a
81.6×P/E ex one-offs (FY2025)57.8×
14.0×Forward P/E (FY2026)n/a
3.30×P/S (TTM)0.45×
2.59×P/B1.40×
12.2×EV/EBITDA7.1×
n/aPEG1.98×
−67.7%Fair value upside−41.3%
0.4%Dividend yield4.9%
$0.32Dividend per share$0.48
Profitability
19%Operating margin1%
n/aEBIT margin trend (5Y)0.67×
10%Return on equity-9%
5%Return on assets1%
Growth
71%Revenue growth (YoY)4%
-9.0%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-2.3%
10.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)6.6%
−24.0%Value creation/yrn/a
Balance & size
4.7×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)2.0×
0.07×Debt / equity1.15×
$6BMarket cap$834M
weakGrowth qualityweak
The P/E excluding one-off items is scored: for at least one of the two companies, special items (write-downs, restructuring, litigation) move the reported P/E by 15 % or more. The trailing P/E is shown for reference.

SunCoke Energy leads: 5 to 7 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Warrior Met Coalof which business quality 41 · market factors 61 SunCoke Energyof which business quality 35 · market factors 68
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
23
21
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
0
0
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
41
21
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
73
30
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
25
91
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
55
48
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
61
78
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
69
75
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
77
79

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyWarrior Met CoalPrice $88.95SunCoke EnergyPrice $9.75
DCF Modelsn/a-71%below the price$2.82
Earnings-Based-86%below the price$12.75n/a
Dividend Discount-95%below the price$4.13-45%below the price$5.33
Multiples-81%below the price$16.60-62%below the price$3.67
Asset-Based-69%below the price$27.17-52%below the price$4.72
Growth DCFn/a-71%below the price$2.84
Economic Profit-78%below the price$19.16n/a
Growth Earnings-84%below the price$14.38n/a
Minimum-95%below the price$4.13-71%below the price$2.82
Maximum-69%below the price$27.17-45%below the price$5.33
Median-83%below the price$15.49-62%below the price$3.67
Geometric mean-85%below the price$13.67-62%below the price$3.75

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Warrior Met Coal: 14 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

SunCoke Energy: 12 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Warrior Met Coal
Price $88.95
Fair Value $28.76
Bear $20.50Bull $37.40
SunCoke Energy
Price $9.75
Fair Value $5.72
Bear $5.72Bull $12.70

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Warrior Met Coal · Materials

Quality score39 · below median
Fair value upside-68% · bottom 25%

SunCoke Energy · Materials

Quality score36 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-41% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees SunCoke Energy as the less overvalued of the two: Warrior Met Coal trades at $88.95 versus a fair value of $28.76 (-68%), while SunCoke Energy trades at $9.75 versus $5.72 (-41%).

Warrior Met Coal has the higher quality score (39/100).

Open SunCoke Energy live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.