SunCoke Energy, Inc (SXC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $710M
SunCoke Energy, Inc
SXC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $6.80 to $7.34 (+7.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +15.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Our model range runs from $7.34 (bear) to $12.70 (bull), base $7.34. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 39/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.80 – $11.63 · fair‑value band $7.34 – $12.70 · the $9.39 price screens above the $7.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
SunCoke Energy, Inc (SXC) currently trades at $9.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.34, implying the stock looks roughly 21.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SunCoke Energy, Inc generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of -3.6%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.3%. Net debt stands at $597M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.34 (bear case) to $12.70 (bull case); at $9.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -22%, SXC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($5.17) versus DCF Models ($1.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products.
Full company description
SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products. It also provides export and domestic material handling and/or mixing services to coke, coal, steel, power/electric utility, and other bulk and manufacturing-based customers; and on-site scrap and slag handling and processing services to steel producers. In addition, the company owns and operates cokemaking facilities and logistics terminals. Further, it offers metal recovery and scrap processing services comprising metallic recovery, dropballing, scrap cutting and cleaning, scrap upgrading and shearing, and scrap baling; logistics services consisting of warehouse and yard management, raw and finished material transportation, semi-finished and finished product handling, on-highway transportation, and coil and slab transportation; and co-product processing, handling, and marketing services, such as slag processing and marketing, briquetting, mixing plant services, coal/coke stockpiling and handling, iron ore handling, slag granulation and grinding, mill scale processing and marketing, and refractory brick crushing and bagging. Additionally, the company provides scrap management services, including scrap transport and reception, rail and barge unloading, scrap yard management, charge box and bucket transport, revert scrap collection, scrap inspection, and charge box and bucket loading; melt shop services, such as tundish removal, refractory tear-out, melt shop clean-up, pit digging, and pot carrying; and environmental and ancillary services, which consists of vacuum and sweeper truck services, scarfing and grinding, drone surveying, packaging, maintenance, equipment rental, by-product bagging, road and yard grading, and road and yard watering. SunCoke Energy, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Lisle, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SunCoke Energy, Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.2M in FY2025.
SXC screens 22% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- SunCoke Energy (SXC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- SunCoke raises 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook to $250M-$265M as Industrial Services posts record since Phoenix deal
- SunCoke Energy, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- SunCoke Energy (SXC) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,515 IDR | 1,267 IDR | -16% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $78.91 | $18.35 | -77% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.34 | ¥1.24 | -63% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $143.80 | $45.29 | -69% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.39 | HK$2.34 | -2% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.54 | ¥1.75 | -51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.41 | ¥1.72 | -68% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $12.80 | $1.74 | -86% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.63 | ¥1.91 | -27% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥6.50 | ¥6.54 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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