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SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SunCoke Energy Inc $5.72, price $9.75, upside -41.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN US86722A1034

SE SunCoke Energy Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

SunCoke Energy Inc

SXC · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $5.72 · Strongly overvalued (−41%)
!Quality 36/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·4.92% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $5.72 to $12.70
!Weak on future: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$11.63 $4.80 Fair Value $5.72 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.80 – $11.63 · fair‑value band $5.72 – $12.70 · the $9.75 price screens above the $5.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products.

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SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products. It also provides export and domestic material handling and/or mixing services to coke, coal, steel, power/electric utility, and other bulk and manufacturing-based customers; and on-site scrap and slag handling and processing services to steel producers. In addition, the company owns and operates cokemaking facilities and logistics terminals. Further, it offers metal recovery and scrap processing services comprising metallic recovery, dropballing, scrap cutting and cleaning, scrap upgrading and shearing, and scrap baling; logistics services consisting of warehouse and yard management, raw and finished material transportation, semi-finished and finished product handling, on-highway transportation, and coil and slab transportation; and co-product processing, handling, and marketing services, such as slag processing and marketing, briquetting, mixing plant services, coal/coke stockpiling and handling, iron ore handling, slag granulation and grinding, mill scale processing and marketing, and refractory brick crushing and bagging. Additionally, the company provides scrap management services, including scrap transport and reception, rail and barge unloading, scrap yard management, charge box and bucket transport, revert scrap collection, scrap inspection, and charge box and bucket loading; melt shop services, such as tundish removal, refractory tear-out, melt shop clean-up, pit digging, and pot carrying; and environmental and ancillary services, which consists of vacuum and sweeper truck services, scarfing and grinding, drone surveying, packaging, maintenance, equipment rental, by-product bagging, road and yard grading, and road and yard watering. SunCoke Energy, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Lisle, Illinois.

Stock analysis

SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) currently trades at $9.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.72, implying the stock looks roughly 70.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $5.17 per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the $9.75 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $2.65, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $5.72 (bear) to $12.70 (bull), the price of $9.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

SunCoke Energy Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $834M · P/E ex one-offs 57.8 · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7700 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin −2.4% · Return on equity −9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −41%, SXC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.72 Fair Value $5.72 Bull $12.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.3000 $2.70 $5.62 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.80 $13.42 $21.88 70
Growth DCF $0.4500 $2.65 $5.23 69
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.3000 $2.70 $5.62 70
Owner Earnings $0.3300 $2.74 $5.67 66
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $2.90 $6.64 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.80 $13.42 $21.88 70
10Y Revenue Exit n/a $2.40 $5.51 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.36 $8.86 $15.54 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.79 $5.49 $7.08 67
DDM Multi-Stage $3.79 $5.17 $6.53 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.00 $3.67 $6.35 60
EV/EBITDA $12.28 $18.72 $25.15 66
EV/Revenue n/a $2.91 $5.89 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.52 $4.72 $7.04 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4500 $2.65 $5.23 69
Rev-Margin DCF n/a $3.02 $6.41 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 39/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.2% (2020) → 3.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.4% a year for the price.

SXC screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Warrior Met Coal, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 27 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Below median
Fair Value upside −41% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.15× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.40× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 19.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)22 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)43 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)98 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $92.10 $14.38 −84%
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,560 IDR 1,214 IDR −22%
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.67 ¥1.24 −66%
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $188.57 $46.26 −75%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.77 HK$3.81 +38%
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.72 ¥1.83 −51%
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.13 ¥3.06 −40%
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.88 ¥1.32 −54%
Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 ¥7.22 ¥7.94 +10%
Yunnan Coal & Energy Co 600792 ¥5.18 ¥5.94 +15%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SunCoke Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SXC

Frequently asked questions

Is SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.72 versus a price of $9.75, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SXC?
Our model-based fair value for SunCoke Energy Inc is $5.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.75.
What is the quality score of SXC?
SunCoke Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.72, optimistic scenario $12.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SunCoke Energy Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.72, about −41% upside versus a price of $9.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.72, optimistic scenario $12.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
SunCoke Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does SunCoke Energy Inc pay a dividend?
SunCoke Energy Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SunCoke Energy Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +23.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SXC use?
Our models discount SunCoke Energy Inc at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.96, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SunCoke Energy Inc that is +23.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SunCoke Energy Inc grew +6.6 % a year. The price currently implies +23.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SunCoke Energy Inc (+23.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.07 %: that much free cash flow SunCoke Energy Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SunCoke Energy Inc it is $5.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $9.75. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SunCoke Energy Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SXC trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.75, fair value $5.72, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SXC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.72). For SunCoke Energy Inc the two are $4.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SunCoke Energy Inc worth?
The market values SunCoke Energy Inc at about $834M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $9.75; our models calculate a fair value of $5.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SXC?
Our models span a range for SunCoke Energy Inc: cautious scenario $5.72, base $5.72, optimistic $12.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $9.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SXC?
The PEG ratio of SunCoke Energy Inc is 1.98 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
Balance-sheet figures for SunCoke Energy Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.3%, debt of 1.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SXC from its 52-week high?
SunCoke Energy Inc trades at $9.75, about 8% below its 52-week high of $10.57 and 75% above the low of $5.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SunCoke Energy Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SunCoke Energy Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $9.75, calculated fair value $5.72 (−41%), Quality Score 36/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SXC calculated?
We run SunCoke Energy Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SunCoke Energy Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $9.75. Our model-based fair value is $5.72, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SunCoke Energy Inc right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($5.72 to $12.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of SunCoke Energy Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
The market capitalisation of SunCoke Energy Inc is $834M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) excluding one-off items?
Excluding one-off items, the price-to-earnings ratio of SunCoke Energy Inc is 57.8 (fiscal year 2025, the reported result was a loss).
What is the P/S ratio of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SunCoke Energy Inc is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
Earnings per share at SunCoke Energy Inc are $−0.7700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
The dividend yield of SunCoke Energy Inc is 4.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
The net margin of SunCoke Energy Inc is −2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SunCoke Energy Inc is −9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SunCoke Energy Inc is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
The operating margin of SunCoke Energy Inc is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
Revenue at SunCoke Energy Inc is growing +4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
Earnings per share at SunCoke Energy Inc are growing −28.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) carry?
The net debt of SunCoke Energy Inc is $597M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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