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STOCK COMPARISON

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC vs Marriott International: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) and Marriott International (MAR) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees InterContinental Hotels Group PLC as the less overvalued of the two: InterContinental Hotels Group PLC trades at $158 versus a fair value of $97.57 (-38%), while Marriott International trades at $352 versus $151 (-57%).
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
IHG · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-38%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$158
Fair Value$97.57
Quality73/100
Marriott International
MAR · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-57%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$352
Fair Value$151
Quality69/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

InterContinental Hotels Group PLCMarriott International
Valuation
32.4×P/E (TTM)36.8×
4.73×P/S (TTM)13.18×
Negative equityP/BNegative equity
21.8×EV/EBITDA23.1×
1.61×PEG2.16×
−38.1%Fair value upside−57.2%
1.2%Dividend yield0.8%
$1.85Dividend per share$2.68
Profitability
22%Operating margin59%
1.70×EBIT margin trend (5Y)19.75×
Negative equityReturn on equityNegative equity
15%Return on assets10%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)13%
10.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)8.0%
16.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)19.9%
+22.8%Value creation/yr+24.5%
Balance & size
5.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)5.1×
Negative equityDebt / equityNegative equity
$25BMarket cap$95B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC leads: 9 to 4 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

InterContinental Hotels Group PLCof which business quality 71 · market factors 64 Marriott Internationalof which business quality 63 · market factors 61
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
69
54
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
44
48
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
71
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
70
48
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
79
94
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
68
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
58
54
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
71
69
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
100
100

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyInterContinental Hotels Group PLCPrice $158Marriott InternationalPrice $352
DCF Models-35%below the price$102-55%below the price$159
Earnings-Based-73%below the price$42.79-79%below the price$73.56
Dividend Discountn/a-87%below the price$46.38
Multiples-42%below the price$91.22-54%below the price$160
Growth DCF-52%below the price$76.34-64%below the price$125
Economic Profit-69%below the price$48.64-70%below the price$104
Growth Earnings-36%below the price$101-46%below the price$189
Minimum-73%below the price$42.79-87%below the price$46.38
Maximum-35%below the price$102-46%below the price$189
Median-47%below the price$83.78-64%below the price$125
Geometric mean-54%below the price$72.89-68%below the price$111

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC: 21 of 21 models see the stock below the current price.

Marriott International: 23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
Price $158
Fair Value $97.57
Bear $58.01Bull $131
Marriott International
Price $352
Fair Value $151
Bear $80.19Bull $206

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score73 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-38% · below median

Marriott International · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-57% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees InterContinental Hotels Group PLC as the less overvalued of the two: InterContinental Hotels Group PLC trades at $158 versus a fair value of $97.57 (-38%), while Marriott International trades at $352 versus $151 (-57%).

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC has the higher quality score (73/100).

Open InterContinental Hotels Group PLC live analysis →
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Marriott International

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.