Is Kali Metals or Vale S.A. more undervalued?

As of Sep 25, 2026, Kali Metals is at -74% to fair value and Vale S.A. at -34%. Vale S.A. is the less overvalued of the two. Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

Which has higher quality, Kali Metals or Vale S.A.?

Kali Metals has a quality score of 39/100 and Vale S.A. 57/100. Vale S.A. leads on quality.

STOCK COMPARISON

Kali Metals vs Vale S.A.: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Kali Metals (KM1) and Vale S.A. (XVALO) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Vale S.A. as the less overvalued of the two: Kali Metals trades at A$0.09 versus a fair value of A$0.02 (-74%), while Vale S.A. trades at €12.15 versus €8.03 (-34%).

Kali Metals

KM1.AU · AUD · Materials

-74%

upside to fair value

overvalued

PriceA$0.09

Fair ValueA$0.02

Quality39/100

Vale S.A.

XVALO.MC · EUR · Materials

-34%

upside to fair value

overvalued

Price€12.15

Fair Value€8.03

Quality57/100

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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Kali MetalsVale S.A.

Valuation

n/aP/E (TTM)21.1×

0.80×P/Bn/a

n/aPEG0.29×

−73.6%Fair value upside−33.9%

n/aDividend yield10.1%

n/aDividend per share€1.24

Profitability

n/aOperating margin28%

n/aEBIT margin trend (5Y)0.90×

-13%Return on equity7%

-7%Return on assets8%

Growth

17%Revenue growth (YoY)3%

n/aAvg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.9%

n/aAvg. growth/yr (5Y)-0.3%

Balance & size

n/aInterest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.1×

n/aDebt / equity0.61×

$17MMarket cap$60B

mixedGrowth qualityweak

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Kali Metalsof which business quality 39 · market factors 22 Vale S.A.of which business quality 53 · market factors 61

ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today

Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?

Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building

Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)

MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?

CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

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What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model family	Kali MetalsPrice A$0.09	Vale S.A.Price €12.15
DCF Models	n/a	-15%below the price€10.32
Earnings-Based	n/a	-1%close to the price€12.08
Dividend Discount	n/a	-24%below the price€9.22
Multiples	n/a	-15%close to the price€10.33
Asset-Based	-22%below the priceA$0.07	-57%below the price€5.28
Growth DCF	n/a	-11%close to the price€10.76
Economic Profit	n/a	+12%close to the price€13.55
Growth Earnings	n/a	-37%below the price€7.67
Minimum	-22%below the priceA$0.07	-57%below the price€5.28
Maximum	-22%below the priceA$0.07	+12%close to the price€13.55
Median	-22%below the priceA$0.07	-15%below the price€10.32
Geometric mean	-22%below the priceA$0.07	-21%below the price€9.56

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Kali Metals: 1 of 1 models see the stock below the current price.

Vale S.A.: 17 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Kali Metals

Price A$0.09

Fair Value A$0.02

Bear A$0.01Bull A$0.03

Vale S.A.

Price €12.15

Fair Value €8.03

Bear €5.59Bull €10.99

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Kali Metals · Materials

Quality score39 · below median

Fair value upside-74% · bottom 25%

Vale S.A. · Materials

Quality score57 · above median

Fair value upside-34% · below median

Bottom line

Vale S.A. has the higher quality score (57/100).

Open Vale S.A. live analysis →

Kali Metals · Vale S.A.

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.