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STOCK COMPARISON

Luca Mining vs Vale S.A.: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Luca Mining (LUCA) and Vale S.A. (XVALO) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Luca Mining as the less overvalued of the two: Luca Mining trades at C$1.11 versus a fair value of C$0.90 (-19%), while Vale S.A. trades at €12.15 versus €8.03 (-34%).
Luca Mining
LUCA.V · CAD · Materials
-19%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceC$1.11
Fair ValueC$0.90
Quality35/100
Vale S.A.
XVALO.MC · EUR · Materials
-34%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€12.15
Fair Value€8.03
Quality57/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Luca MiningVale S.A.
Valuation
n/aP/E (TTM)20.9×
4.7×Forward P/E (FY2026)n/a
1.10×P/S (TTM)n/a
3.60×P/Bn/a
4.0×EV/EBITDAn/a
n/aPEG0.29×
−18.8%Fair value upside−33.9%
n/aDividend yield10.2%
n/aDividend per share€1.24
Profitability
29%Operating margin28%
0.40×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.90×
-18%Return on equity7%
12%Return on assets8%
Growth
40%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
59.4%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.9%
n/aAvg. growth/yr (5Y)-0.3%
Balance & size
14.2×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.1×
0.04×Debt / equity0.61×
$212MMarket cap$59B
mixedGrowth qualityweak

Luca Mining leads: 7 to 1 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Luca Miningof which business quality 37 · market factors 15 Vale S.A.of which business quality 53 · market factors 61
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
24
32
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
78
39
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
37
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
65
46
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
9
75
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
0
75
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
27
52
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
12
61
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
0
91

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyLuca MiningPrice C$1.11Vale S.A.Price €12.15
DCF Models+23%above the priceC$1.37-15%below the price€10.32
Earnings-Based-40%below the priceC$0.67-1%close to the price€12.08
Dividend Discountn/a-24%below the price€9.22
Multiples+25%above the priceC$1.39-15%close to the price€10.33
Asset-Based-87%below the priceC$0.14-57%below the price€5.28
Growth DCF+1%close to the priceC$1.12-11%close to the price€10.76
Economic Profit-18%below the priceC$0.91+12%close to the price€13.55
Growth Earningsn/a-37%below the price€7.67
Minimum-87%below the priceC$0.14-57%below the price€5.28
Maximum+25%above the priceC$1.39+12%close to the price€13.55
Median-9%close to the priceC$1.02-15%below the price€10.32
Geometric mean-32%below the priceC$0.75-21%below the price€9.56

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Luca Mining: 6 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

Vale S.A.: 17 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Luca Mining
Price C$1.11
Fair Value C$0.90
Bear C$0.72Bull C$1.15
Vale S.A.
Price €12.15
Fair Value €8.03
Bear €5.59Bull €10.99

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Luca Mining · Materials

Quality score35 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-19% · above median

Vale S.A. · Materials

Quality score57 · above median
Fair value upside-34% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Luca Mining as the less overvalued of the two: Luca Mining trades at C$1.11 versus a fair value of C$0.90 (-19%), while Vale S.A. trades at €12.15 versus €8.03 (-34%).

Vale S.A. has the higher quality score (57/100).

Open Luca Mining live analysis →
Luca Mining · Vale S.A.

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.