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STOCK COMPARISON

Newmont vs Southern Copper: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Newmont (NEM) and Southern Copper (SCCO) compare, as of Sep 4, 2026.

As of Sep 4, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Newmont as the less overvalued of the two: Newmont trades at A$178 versus a fair value of A$162 (-9%), while Southern Copper trades at $200 versus $85.17 (-57%).
Newmont
NEM.AU · AUD · Materials
-9%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
PriceA$178
Fair ValueA$162
Quality71/100
Southern Copper
SCCO · USD · Materials
-57%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$200
Fair Value$85.17
Quality72/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

NewmontSouthern Copper
Valuation
11.6×P/E (TTM)30.8×
4.01×P/S (TTM)10.07×
2.95×P/B13.28×
6.0×EV/EBITDA16.8×
2.63×PEG5.41×
−9.1%Fair value upside−57.3%
0.6%Dividend yield1.7%
A$1.02Dividend per share$3.30
Profitability
61%Operating margin58%
1.76×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.34×
26%Return on equity46%
15%Return on assets24%
Growth
46%Revenue growth (YoY)36%
25.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)10.1%
15.3%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)10.9%
+14.3%Value creation/yr+22.3%
Balance & size
46.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)19.0×
0.15×Debt / equity0.61×
$100BMarket cap$147B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

Newmont leads: 12 to 3 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Newmontof which business quality 70 · market factors 73 Southern Copperof which business quality 70 · market factors 64
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
63
81
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
98
76
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
81
75
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
85
82
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
22
55
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
63
35
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
69
66
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
92
92
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
50
35

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyNewmontPrice A$178Southern CopperPrice $200
DCF Models+10%close to the priceA$197-55%below the price$90.60
Earnings-Based-13%close to the priceA$155-73%below the price$54.55
Dividend Discountn/a-74%below the price$52.41
Multiples-41%below the priceA$106-68%below the price$64.01
Asset-Based-88%below the priceA$21.27-96%below the price$8.86
Growth DCF-16%below the priceA$150-70%below the price$60.29
Economic Profit-51%below the priceA$86.58-71%below the price$57.08
Growth Earnings+6%close to the priceA$189-60%below the price$79.36
Minimum-88%below the priceA$21.27-96%below the price$8.86
Maximum+10%close to the priceA$197-55%below the price$90.60
Median-16%below the priceA$150-71%below the price$58.69
Geometric mean-40%below the priceA$108-75%below the price$50.17

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Newmont: 15 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Southern Copper: 26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Newmont
Bear A$122Fair Value A$162Bull A$340
A$178 = current price (white tick)
Southern Copper
Bear $49.56Fair Value $85.17Bull $110
$200 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Newmont · Materials

Quality score71 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-9% · above median

Southern Copper · Materials

Quality score72 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-57% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 4, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Newmont as the less overvalued of the two: Newmont trades at A$178 versus a fair value of A$162 (-9%), while Southern Copper trades at $200 versus $85.17 (-57%).

Southern Copper has the higher quality score (72/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.