EN DE
Data-driven stock valuation

Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Southern Copper Corporation is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $147B · ISIN US84265V1052

At a glance

SC Southern Copper Corporation logo Southern Copper Corporation SCCO · US
Price$198.76
Fair Value$85.17
Upside−57.2%
Quality72/100

A solid business, but trading 133% above our fair value of $85.17.

As of Sep 7, 2026, the fair value of Southern Copper Corporation is $85.17 per share against a price of $198.76, so the fair value sits 57% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +10.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 34.1% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·1.66% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
✓Wide moat 89/100
Evidence: High Range $49.56 to $110.41

Fair value as of: Sep 7, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

Watch Southern Copper Corporation for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($110.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($49.56 to $110.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$219.70 $35.81 Fair Value $85.17 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $35.81 – $219.70 · fair‑value band $49.56 – $110.41 · the $198.76 price screens above the $85.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) currently trades at $198.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $85.17, implying the stock looks roughly 133.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $88.64 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $198.76 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.86, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Southern Copper Corporation generated revenue of $14.5B at a net margin of 34.1%. Revenue grew 36.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 46.3%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Sep 7, 2026

Scenario range: $49.56 (bear) to $110.41 (bull), the price of $198.76 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −57%, SCCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.78 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $47.57 $83.49 $143.06 78
Growth DCF $47.66 $81.83 $137.70 76
Owner Earnings $54.22 $94.87 $162.28 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $47.57 $83.49 $143.06 78
Owner Earnings $54.22 $94.87 $162.28 74
5Y Revenue Exit $24.79 $38.39 $55.57 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $56.85 $102.17 $157.66 74
5Y P/E Exit $54.11 $96.72 $144.00 69
10Y Revenue Exit $31.67 $46.75 $67.34 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $53.18 $92.55 $149.91 67
10Y P/E Exit $51.39 $88.64 $138.87 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $35.33 $143.77 $195.69 64
Lynch FV $36.01 $51.44 $66.87 61
PEG = 1.0 $36.01 $51.44 $66.87 57
EPV $49.00 $57.66 $65.23 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $27.35 $56.86 $90.21 66
DDM Multi-Stage $27.35 $47.95 $59.68 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $66.24 $88.33 $110.41 63
P/S Multiple $18.10 $24.13 $30.16 58
P/B Multiple $29.77 $39.69 $49.61 55
EV/EBIT $85.18 $114.55 $143.93 66
EV/EBITDA $67.81 $91.40 $114.98 67
EV/Revenue $13.96 $21.20 $28.43 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.61 $8.86 $13.23 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $47.66 $81.83 $137.70 76
Rev-Margin DCF $24.79 $38.75 $56.22 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $34.03 $43.79 $277.72 64
ROIC Compounder $54.15 $70.37 $89.65 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $55.55 $79.36 $103.17 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($88.64) versus Asset-Based ($8.86). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

Notify me when SCCO reaches fair value

Put SCCO on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 34.8
P/S ratio 11.2 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $5.71 price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.8
Dividend yield 1.7% payout 57.7%
Net margin 32.3% FY2025
Return on equity 46.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 29.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 58.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $14.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.2% 3y avg +10.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +66.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $3.4B FY2025
Net debt $3.1B FY2025 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 81
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Mexico, the United States, Peru, Brazil, Chile, and Other American countries.

Full company description

Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Mexico, the United States, Peru, Brazil, Chile, and Other American countries. The company is involved in the mining, milling, and flotation of copper ore to produce copper and molybdenum concentrates; smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper; refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes; production of copper-molybdenum concentrates and sulfuric acid; production of refined silver, gold, and other materials; and mining and processing of copper, molybdenum, zinc, silver, gold and lead. It operates the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, smelter, and refinery in Peru; La Caridad, an open-pit copper mine, as well as copper ore concentrator; and SX-EW plant, a smelter, refinery, and rod plant in Mexico. The company also operates Buenavista, an open-pit copper mine, as well as copper concentrators and operating SX-EW plants in Mexico. In addition, it operates underground mines that produce zinc, lead, copper, silver, and gold; coal mine; and zinc refinery. The company has interests in 164,805 hectares and 505,788 hectares of concessions in Peru and Mexico; and 98,634 hectares and 28,453 hectares of exploration concessions in Argentina and Chile. Southern Copper Corporation was formerly known as Southern Peru Copper Corp. and changed its name to Southern Copper Corporation in July 1996. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona. Southern Copper Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Southern Copper Corporation reported revenue of $13.4B in FY2025 versus $10.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $4.3B in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.4B
Latest YoY
+17.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (30Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +22.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+20.6%
Dividend yield1.7%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 20.6% vs 10Y 17.8%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.39.1% (2020) → 52.2% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop57% (2009) · in USD
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 52% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 $10.9B
FY22 $10.0B
FY23 $9.9B
FY24 $11.4B
FY25 $13.4B
Net income +6.3%/yr
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $3.4B
FY25 $4.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +15.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.8 %

of which total revenue +8.8 % · buybacks/dilution −0.1 %

EBIT margin +4.6 %
Tax rate +0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SCCO screens 133% overvalued. Compare with Freeport-McMoRan Inc →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Southern Copper Corporation · Fair Value
$85.17 −133%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Southern Copper Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCCO

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Copper · 59 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −57% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 46% · Top 25%
Return on assets 24% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 36% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 13.28× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 10.07× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 42.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 16.8× · Priciest 25%
PEG 5.41× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Southern Copper Corporation deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+19.5 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+10.9 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+3.2 %
FCF yield on price2.06 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.5 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 100
PAST100 · sector 34
HEALTH69 · sector 92
DIVIDEND33 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $75.74 $22.81 −70%
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM C$43.46 C$16.35 −62%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$35.76 C$22.65 −37%
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 ¥45.86 ¥35.19 −23%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥6.37 ¥3.06 −52%
MMG Limited 1208 HK$9.08 HK$5.29 −42%
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM C$38.79 C$21.25 −45%
Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 ¥19.78 ¥6.39 −68%
Capstone Copper Corp CS C$14.82 C$9.91 −33%
Yunnan Copper Co 000878 ¥17.06 ¥7.46 −56%

Compare Southern Copper Corporation with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark

Frequently asked questions

Is Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $85.17 versus a price of $198.76, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCCO?
Our model-based fair value for Southern Copper Corporation is $85.17 (as of Sep 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $198.76.
What is the quality score of SCCO?
Southern Copper Corporation has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $85.17 (as of Sep 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $49.56, optimistic scenario $110.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Southern Copper Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $85.17, about −57% upside versus a price of $198.76 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $49.56, optimistic scenario $110.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)?
Southern Copper Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCCO?
The net profit margin of Southern Copper Corporation is about 34.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 34.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Southern Copper Corporation pay a dividend?
Southern Copper Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Southern Copper Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +19.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.9 % per year. As of Sep 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCCO use?
Our models discount Southern Copper Corporation at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.12, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
Free · no account needed

Watch Southern Copper Corporation in the live analysis

One click puts Southern Copper Corporation on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.