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STOCK COMPARISON

PAM Mineral Tbk PT vs Vale SA: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how PAM Mineral Tbk PT (NICL) and Vale SA (VALE) compare, as of Sep 24, 2026.

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees PAM Mineral Tbk PT as the less overvalued of the two: PAM Mineral Tbk PT trades at IDR 442 versus a fair value of IDR 320 (-28%), while Vale SA trades at $13.82 versus $9.87 (-29%).
PAM Mineral Tbk PT
NICL.JK · IDR · Materials
-28%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceIDR 442
Fair ValueIDR 320
Quality84/100
Vale SA
VALE · USD · Materials
-29%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$13.82
Fair Value$9.87
Quality55/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

PAM Mineral Tbk PTVale SA
Valuation
17.4×P/E (TTM)20.9×
4.31×P/S (TTM)n/a
6.82×P/Bn/a
13.6×EV/EBITDAn/a
n/aPEG0.33×
−27.5%Fair value upside−28.6%
8.5%Dividend yield10.1%
n/aDividend per share$1.40
Profitability
53%Operating margin28%
2.19×EBIT margin trend (5Y)2.67×
28%Return on equity7%
19%Return on assets8%
Growth
-46%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
8.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-4.5%
50.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)-0.7%
+66.7%Value creation/yr+10.8%
Balance & size
2,414.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.1×
n/aDebt / equity0.61×
$528MMarket cap$59B
mixedGrowth qualityweak

PAM Mineral Tbk PT leads: 9 to 2 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

PAM Mineral Tbk PTof which business quality 84 · market factors 20 Vale SAof which business quality 50 · market factors 58
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
99
31
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
79
18
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
90
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
98
47
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
51
75
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
50
70
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
11
50
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
0
60
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
65
89

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyPAM Mineral Tbk PTPrice IDR 442Vale SAPrice $13.82
DCF Models+104%above the priceIDR 904-21%below the price$10.94
Earnings-Based+72%above the priceIDR 759-36%below the price$8.84
Dividend Discount+27%above the priceIDR 562-14%close to the price$11.85
Multiples-21%below the priceIDR 350-27%below the price$10.12
Asset-Based-89%below the priceIDR 49-62%below the price$5.29
Growth DCF+70%above the priceIDR 749-17%below the price$11.53
Economic Profit-32%below the priceIDR 3000%close to the price$13.88
Growth Earnings+107%above the priceIDR 915-42%below the price$8.01
Minimum-89%below the priceIDR 49-62%below the price$5.29
Maximum+107%above the priceIDR 9150%close to the price$13.88
Median+48%above the priceIDR 656-24%below the price$10.53
Geometric mean-1%close to the priceIDR 438-30%below the price$9.70

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

PAM Mineral Tbk PT: 7 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Vale SA: 18 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

PAM Mineral Tbk PT
Price IDR 442
Fair Value IDR 320
Bear IDR 188Bull IDR 471
Vale SA
Price $13.82
Fair Value $9.87
Bear $6.61Bull $12.34

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

PAM Mineral Tbk PT · Materials

Quality score84 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-28% · below median

Vale SA · Materials

Quality score55 · above median
Fair value upside-29% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees PAM Mineral Tbk PT as the less overvalued of the two: PAM Mineral Tbk PT trades at IDR 442 versus a fair value of IDR 320 (-28%), while Vale SA trades at $13.82 versus $9.87 (-29%).

PAM Mineral Tbk PT has the higher quality score (84/100).

Open PAM Mineral Tbk PT live analysis →
PAM Mineral Tbk PT · Vale SA

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.