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STOCK COMPARISON

Nova vs ASML Holding: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Nova (NVMI) and ASML Holding (ASML) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Nova as the less overvalued of the two: Nova trades at $381 versus a fair value of $123 (-68%), while ASML Holding trades at €1,494 versus €444 (-70%).
Nova
NVMI · USD · Information Technology
-68%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$381
Fair Value$123
Quality55/100
ASML Holding
ASML.AS · EUR · Information Technology
-70%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€1,494
Fair Value€444
Quality79/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

NovaASML Holding
Valuation
55.0×P/E (TTM)60.6×
15.42×P/S (TTM)19.27×
10.55×P/B34.71×
50.8×EV/EBITDA49.7×
1.46×PEG2.19×
Dividend yield0.3%
Dividend per share€5.90
Profitability
29%Net margin30%
30%Operating margin37%
22%Return on equity54%
8%Return on assets16%
Growth
10%Revenue growth (YoY)21%
15.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)15.6%
26.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)18.5%
Balance & size
0.56×Debt / equity0.14×
$14BMarket cap$681B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

ASML Holding leads: 5 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Novaof which business quality 63 · market factors 37 ASML Holdingof which business quality 79 · market factors 70
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
60
81
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
48
77
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
78
86
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
76
85
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
31
42
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
3
35
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
46
82
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
61
89
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
67
92

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Nova

DCF Models$166
Earnings-Based$158
Multiples$111
Asset-Based$27.77
Growth DCF$145
Economic Profit$75.64
Growth Earnings$214

24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

ASML Holding

DCF Models€708
Earnings-Based€393
Dividend Discount€127
Multiples€342
Asset-Based€34.21
Growth DCF€664
Economic Profit€376
Growth Earnings€570

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Nova
Bear $68.58Fair Value $123Bull $155
$381 = current price (white tick)
ASML Holding
Bear €339Fair Value €444Bull €740
€1,494 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Nova · Information Technology

Quality score55 · above median
Fair value upside-68% · bottom 25%

ASML Holding · Information Technology

Quality score79 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-70% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Nova as the less overvalued of the two: Nova trades at $381 versus a fair value of $123 (-68%), while ASML Holding trades at €1,494 versus €444 (-70%).

ASML Holding has the higher quality score (79/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.