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STOCK COMPARISON

Old Dominion Freight Line vs XPO Logistics: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) and XPO Logistics (XPO) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Old Dominion Freight Line as the less overvalued of the two: Old Dominion Freight Line trades at $211 versus a fair value of $103 (-51%), while XPO Logistics trades at $196 versus $56.52 (-71%).
Old Dominion Freight Line
ODFL · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$211
Fair Value$103
Quality71/100
XPO Logistics
XPO · USD · Industrials
-71%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$196
Fair Value$56.52
Quality51/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Old Dominion Freight LineXPO Logistics
Valuation
47.6×P/E (TTM)73.6×
8.71×P/S (TTM)3.03×
11.03×P/B13.52×
27.8×EV/EBITDA21.6×
3.44×PEG2.28×
0.5%Dividend yield—
$1.13Dividend per share—
Profitability
18%Net margin4%
24%Operating margin9%
23%Return on equity20%
15%Return on assets6%
Growth
-3%Revenue growth (YoY)7%
-4.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)1.9%
6.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)5.7%
Balance & size
0.01×Debt / equity1.64×
$48BMarket cap$25B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

Old Dominion Freight Line leads: 8 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Old Dominion Freight Lineof which business quality 71 · market factors 65 XPO Logisticsof which business quality 46 · market factors 60
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
78
44
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
18
39
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
69
45
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
81
35
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
72
40
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
48
24
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
70
70
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
78
85
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
82

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Old Dominion Freight Line

DCF Models$103
Earnings-Based$53.11
Dividend Discount$19.94
Multiples$82.50
Asset-Based$13.89
Growth DCF$89.98
Economic Profit$57.53
Growth Earnings$84.30

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

XPO Logistics

DCF Models$76.94
Earnings-Based$61.96
Dividend Discount$57.55
Multiples$55.57
Asset-Based$10.62
Growth DCF$79.28
Economic Profit$41.18
Growth Earnings$79.77

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Old Dominion Freight Line
Bear $61.39Fair Value $103Bull $129
$211 = current price (white tick)
XPO Logistics
Bear $23.59Fair Value $56.52Bull $70.65
$196 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Old Dominion Freight Line · Industrials

Quality score71 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median

XPO Logistics · Industrials

Quality score51 · above median
Fair value upside-71% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Old Dominion Freight Line as the less overvalued of the two: Old Dominion Freight Line trades at $211 versus a fair value of $103 (-51%), while XPO Logistics trades at $196 versus $56.52 (-71%).

Old Dominion Freight Line has the higher quality score (71/100).

See the full analysis →
Old Dominion Freight Line · XPO Logistics

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.