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STOCK COMPARISON

Occidental Petroleum vs Cnooc: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Cnooc (0883) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Cnooc as the more attractively valued of the two: Occidental Petroleum trades at $56.04 versus a fair value of $30.68 (-45%), while Cnooc trades at HK$22.70 versus HK$26.35 (+16%).
Occidental Petroleum
OXY · USD · Energy
-45%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$56.04
Fair Value$30.68
Quality54/100
Cnooc
0883.HK · HKD · Energy
+16%
upside to fair value
undervalued
PriceHK$22.70
Fair ValueHK$26.35
Quality62/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Occidental PetroleumCnooc
Valuation
74.1×P/E (TTM)7.7×
P/S (TTM)2.67×
P/B1.35×
EV/EBITDA4.3×
1.16×PEG0.16×
1.8%Dividend yield5.0%
$0.98Dividend per shareHK$1.15
Profitability
22%Net margin31%
18%Operating margin45%
4%Return on equity15%
3%Return on assets9%
Growth
-8%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
-15.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.7%
4.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)20.0%
Balance & size
0.55×Debt / equity0.07×
$55BMarket cap$139B
expensiveGrowth qualityexpensive

Cnooc leads: 0 to 11 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Occidental Petroleumof which business quality 47 · market factors 65 Cnoocof which business quality 64 · market factors 55
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
28
55
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
38
36
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
72
76
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
35
84
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
46
40
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
78
83
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
56
39
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
65
52
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
65
79

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Occidental Petroleum

DCF Models$34.86
Earnings-Based$12.24
Dividend Discount$22.36
Multiples$44.07
Asset-Based$24.27
Growth DCF$39.82
Economic Profit$21.48
Growth Earnings$38.06

22 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Cnooc

DCF ModelsHK$49.31
Earnings-BasedHK$27.87
Dividend DiscountHK$25.25
MultiplesHK$49.40
Asset-BasedHK$12.08
Growth DCFHK$38.18
Economic ProfitHK$32.53
Growth EarningsHK$41.10

5 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Occidental Petroleum
Bear $19.16Fair Value $30.68Bull $41.68
$56.04 = current price (white tick)
Cnooc
Bear HK$19.80Fair Value HK$26.35Bull HK$33.85
HK$22.70 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Occidental Petroleum · Energy

Quality score54 · above median
Fair value upside-45% · below median

Cnooc · Energy

Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+16% · above median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Cnooc as the more attractively valued of the two: Occidental Petroleum trades at $56.04 versus a fair value of $30.68 (-45%), while Cnooc trades at HK$22.70 versus HK$26.35 (+16%).

Cnooc has the higher quality score (62/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.