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STOCK COMPARISON

Saia vs Old Dominion Freight Line: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Saia (SAIA) and Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Old Dominion Freight Line as the less overvalued of the two: Saia trades at $362 versus a fair value of $130 (-64%), while Old Dominion Freight Line trades at $211 versus $103 (-51%).
Saia
SAIA · USD · Industrials
-64%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$362
Fair Value$130
Quality44/100
Old Dominion Freight Line
ODFL · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$211
Fair Value$103
Quality71/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

SaiaOld Dominion Freight Line
Valuation
46.1×P/E (TTM)47.6×
3.58×P/S (TTM)8.71×
4.52×P/B11.03×
20.1×EV/EBITDA27.8×
2.09×PEG3.44×
—Dividend yield0.5%
—Dividend per share$1.13
Profitability
8%Net margin18%
8%Operating margin24%
10%Return on equity23%
6%Return on assets15%
Growth
2%Revenue growth (YoY)-3%
5.0%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-4.2%
12.2%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)6.5%
Balance & size
0.06×Debt / equity0.01×
$12BMarket cap$48B
expensiveGrowth qualitymixed

Saia leads: 8 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Saiaof which business quality 52 · market factors 39 Old Dominion Freight Lineof which business quality 71 · market factors 65
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
49
78
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
28
18
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
47
69
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
80
81
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
13
72
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
12
48
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
49
70
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
53
78
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
100

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Saia

DCF Models$144
Earnings-Based$89.85
Dividend Discount$6.05
Multiples$179
Asset-Based$64.92
Growth DCF$12.96
Economic Profit$104
Growth Earnings$176

24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Old Dominion Freight Line

DCF Models$103
Earnings-Based$53.11
Dividend Discount$19.94
Multiples$82.50
Asset-Based$13.89
Growth DCF$89.98
Economic Profit$57.53
Growth Earnings$84.30

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Saia
Bear $78.61Fair Value $130Bull $212
$362 = current price (white tick)
Old Dominion Freight Line
Bear $61.39Fair Value $103Bull $129
$211 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Saia · Industrials

Quality score44 · below median
Fair value upside-64% · bottom 25%

Old Dominion Freight Line · Industrials

Quality score71 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Old Dominion Freight Line as the less overvalued of the two: Saia trades at $362 versus a fair value of $130 (-64%), while Old Dominion Freight Line trades at $211 versus $103 (-51%).

Old Dominion Freight Line has the higher quality score (71/100).

See the full analysis →
Saia · Old Dominion Freight Line

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.