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STOCK COMPARISON

Toyota Motor vs Volvo Car AB (publ.): Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Toyota Motor (TM) and Volvo Car AB (publ.) (VOLCAR-B) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Toyota Motor as the more attractively valued of the two: Toyota Motor trades at $189 versus a fair value of $228 (+21%), while Volvo Car AB (publ.) trades at SEK 18.86 versus SEK 10.90 (-42%).
Toyota Motor
TM.NYSE · USD · Consumer Discretionary
+21%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$189
Fair Value$228
Quality46/100
Volvo Car AB (publ.)
VOLCAR-B.ST · SEK · Consumer Discretionary
-42%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSEK 18.86
Fair ValueSEK 10.90
Quality42/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Toyota MotorVolvo Car AB (publ.)
Valuation
9.8×P/E (TTM)95.0×
0.66×P/S (TTM)0.16×
0.83×P/B0.38×
8.2×EV/EBITDA1.4×
1.54×PEG
+20.9%Fair value upside−42.2%
3.5%Dividend yield1.3%
$95.00Dividend per share
Profitability
5%Operating margin2%
0.91×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.03×
10%Return on equity-2%
2%Return on assets2%
Growth
2%Revenue growth (YoY)-13%
10.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)2.7%
13.2%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)6.3%
+17.6%Value creation/yr−53.8%
Balance & size
40.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)0.4×
0.64×Debt / equity0.23×
$213BMarket cap$6B
expensiveGrowth qualitymixed

Toyota Motor leads: 9 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Toyota Motorof which business quality 45 · market factors 68 Volvo Car AB (publ.)of which business quality 43 · market factors 26
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
33
29
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
29
5
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
33
42
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
49
43
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
43
70
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
100
32
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
31
17
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
92
83
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
26

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyToyota MotorPrice $189Volvo Car AB (publ.)Price SEK 18.86
DCF Models+21%above the price$228+112%above the priceSEK 40.06
Earnings-Based-18%below the price$155-95%below the priceSEK 0.91
Dividend Discountn/a-74%below the priceSEK 4.99
Multiples+112%above the price$400-70%below the priceSEK 5.69
Asset-Based-8%close to the price$174+76%above the priceSEK 33.24
Growth DCF0%close to the price$189+186%above the priceSEK 53.95
Economic Profit-3%close to the price$184+5%close to the priceSEK 19.77
Growth Earnings+160%above the price$491-94%below the priceSEK 1.18
Minimum-18%below the price$155-95%below the priceSEK 0.91
Maximum+160%above the price$491+186%above the priceSEK 53.95
Median0%close to the price$189-32%below the priceSEK 12.73
Geometric mean+26%above the price$237-52%below the priceSEK 9.00

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Toyota Motor: 7 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

Volvo Car AB (publ.): 14 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Toyota Motor
Bear $197Fair Value $228Bull $434
$189 = current price (white tick)
Volvo Car AB (publ.)
Bear SEK 5.24Fair Value SEK 10.90Bull SEK 17.32
SEK 18.86 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Toyota Motor · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score46 · below median
Fair value upside+21% · above median

Volvo Car AB (publ.) · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score42 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-42% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Toyota Motor as the more attractively valued of the two: Toyota Motor trades at $189 versus a fair value of $228 (+21%), while Volvo Car AB (publ.) trades at SEK 18.86 versus SEK 10.90 (-42%).

Toyota Motor has the higher quality score (46/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.