Volvo Car AB (VOLCAR-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 56.3B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range kr 17.77 – kr 35.75 · fair‑value band kr 5.24 – kr 17.32 · the kr 19.15 price screens above the kr 10.90 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Volvo Car AB (VOLCAR-B) currently trades at kr 19.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 10.90, implying the stock looks roughly 43.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Volvo Car AB generated revenue of 347B SEK at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue declined 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 19.8B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 5.24 (bear case) to kr 17.32 (bull case); at kr 19.15, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -43%, VOLCAR-B screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Volvo Car AB (publ.) designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells cars in Sweden and internationally. The company offers battery electric vehicles; non-battery electric vehicles, such as plug-in hybrid, mild hybrid, and internal combustion engine cars; and electrified cars, as well as SUV, estate, and saloon cars. It also provides vehicle parts and accessories, as well as provides maintenance contracts, extended warranties, connectivity, and in-car software services. The company offers cars under the Volvo Cars, Audi, BMW, Lexus, Mercedes, Tesla, and other brands name. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden. Volvo Car AB (publ.) operates as a subsidiary of Geely Sweden Holdings AB.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Volvo Car AB reported revenue of kr 357B in FY2025 versus kr 282B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 174M in FY2025, compounding −65.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Polestar Announces Completion of USD 640 Million Debt-to-Equity Conversions
- US bans EV maker Polestar over connected vehicle technology
- Big Business Urges Faster Electrification
- Geely to streamline structure, prioritise Hong Kong-listed unit
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.