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STOCK COMPARISON

Uber Technologies vs Union Pacific: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Uber Technologies (UBER) and Union Pacific (UNP) compare, as of Sep 4, 2026.

As of Sep 4, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Uber Technologies as the less overvalued of the two: Uber Technologies trades at $75.96 versus a fair value of $43.66 (-43%), while Union Pacific trades at $289 versus $141 (-51%).
Uber Technologies
UBER · USD · Industrials
-43%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$75.96
Fair Value$43.66
Quality68/100
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$289
Fair Value$141
Quality67/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Uber TechnologiesUnion Pacific
Valuation
19.4×P/E (TTM)24.6×
2.82×P/S (TTM)7.25×
5.59×P/B9.70×
21.9×EV/EBITDA16.5×
6.05×PEG3.64×
−42.5%Fair value upside−51.1%
—Dividend yield1.9%
—Dividend per share$5.48
Profitability
15%Operating margin40%
—EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.00×
35%Return on equity41%
7%Return on assets9%
Growth
15%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
17.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.5%
36.1%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)4.6%
+43.0%Value creation/yr+9.4%
Balance & size
12.6×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.5×
0.39×Debt / equity1.64×
$151BMarket cap$179B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

Uber Technologies leads: 9 to 4 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Uber Technologiesof which business quality 66 · market factors 35 Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 70
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
79
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
51
57
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
71
71
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
71
40
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
33
47
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
53
74
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
32
62
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
19
78
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
77
100

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyUber TechnologiesPrice $75.96Union PacificPrice $289
DCF Models+53%above the price$116-58%below the price$122
Earnings-Based+76%above the price$134-66%below the price$97.30
Multiples-37%below the price$48.11-38%below the price$180
Asset-Based-88%below the price$8.90-93%below the price$20.84
Growth DCF+41%above the price$107-76%below the price$69.97
Economic Profit-35%below the price$49.70-58%below the price$121
Growth Earnings+122%above the price$168-29%below the price$204
Minimum-88%below the price$8.90-93%below the price$20.84
Maximum+122%above the price$168-29%below the price$204
Median+41%above the price$107-58%below the price$121
Geometric mean-12%close to the price$66.86-67%below the price$96.44

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Uber Technologies: 12 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Union Pacific: 23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Uber Technologies
Bear $32.04Fair Value $43.66Bull $55.28
$75.96 = current price (white tick)
Union Pacific
Bear $87.76Fair Value $141Bull $266
$289 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Uber Technologies · Industrials

Quality score68 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-43% · below median

Union Pacific · Industrials

Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 4, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Uber Technologies as the less overvalued of the two: Uber Technologies trades at $75.96 versus a fair value of $43.66 (-43%), while Union Pacific trades at $289 versus $141 (-51%).

Uber Technologies has the higher quality score (68/100).

See the full analysis →
Uber Technologies · Union Pacific

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.