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STOCK COMPARISON

UMH Properties vs AvalonBay Communities: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how UMH Properties (UMH) and AvalonBay Communities (AVB) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees AvalonBay Communities as the less overvalued of the two: UMH Properties trades at $15.90 versus a fair value of $6.04 (-62%), while AvalonBay Communities trades at $188 versus $126 (-33%).
UMH Properties
UMH · USD · Real Estate
-62%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$15.90
Fair Value$6.04
Quality32/100
AvalonBay Communities
AVB · USD · Real Estate
-33%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$188
Fair Value$126
Quality66/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

UMH PropertiesAvalonBay Communities
Valuation
153.3×P/E (TTM)22.3×
4.91×P/S (TTM)8.33×
1.44×P/B2.19×
16.9×EV/EBITDA18.4×
0.72×PEG6.49×
5.9%Dividend yield3.8%
$0.90Dividend per share$7.03
Profitability
11%Net margin37%
17%Operating margin29%
3%Return on equity10%
2%Return on assets3%
Growth
8%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
10.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)5.4%
9.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)5.7%
Balance & size
0.84×Debt / equity0.74×
$1BMarket cap$25B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy

UMH Properties leads: 8 to 6 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

UMH Propertiesof which business quality 36 · market factors 58 AvalonBay Communitiesof which business quality 62 · market factors 59
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
20
40
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
43
52
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
75
89
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
38
42
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
23
81
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
77
83
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
44
47
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
60
52
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
0
81

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

UMH Properties

DCF Models$8.78
Dividend Discount$14.43
Multiples$5.29
Asset-Based$7.12
Growth DCF$5.17
Economic Profit$7.07

14 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

AvalonBay Communities

DCF Models$133
Dividend Discount$123
Multiples$126
Asset-Based$54.84
Growth DCF$95.72
Economic Profit$77.36

16 of 16 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

UMH Properties
Bear $3.37Fair Value $6.04Bull $6.04
$15.90 = current price (white tick)
AvalonBay Communities
Bear $71.82Fair Value $126Bull $158
$188 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

UMH Properties · Real Estate

Quality score32 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-62% · bottom 25%

AvalonBay Communities · Real Estate

Quality score66 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-33% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees AvalonBay Communities as the less overvalued of the two: UMH Properties trades at $15.90 versus a fair value of $6.04 (-62%), while AvalonBay Communities trades at $188 versus $126 (-33%).

AvalonBay Communities has the higher quality score (66/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.