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Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.6B

Price$75.60
Fair Value$103.38
Upside+36.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $63.05 – $164.59

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) currently trades at $75.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $103.38 — implying the stock looks roughly 36.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Meritage Homes Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs and builds single-family attached and detached homes in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Homebuilding and Financial Services. It acquires and develops land; and constructs, markets, and sells homes for entry-level and first move-up buyers in Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. The company also provides title and escrow, mortgage, insurance, title insurance, and closing/settlement services to its homebuyers. Meritage Homes Corporation was founded in 1985 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $103.38 versus a price of $75.60 — about +37% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MTH?
Our 21-model fair value for Meritage Homes Corporation is $103.38 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $75.60.
What is the quality score of MTH?
Meritage Homes Corporation has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.