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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $6.4B

Price$28.80
Fair Value$16.03
Upside-44.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $10.40 – $30.21

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) currently trades at $28.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.03 — implying the stock looks roughly 44.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.03 versus a price of $28.80 — about −44% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TFPM?
Our 21-model fair value for Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp is $16.03 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.80.
What is the quality score of TFPM?
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.