Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd ¥0.44, price ¥4.38, upside -90.0%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.24 – ¥9.21 · fair‑value band ¥0.3300 – ¥0.5500 · the ¥4.38 price screens above the ¥0.4400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Jilin Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd. provides private network information and communication technology solutions in China and internationally. The company operates through Smart Private Networks Business, Cellulose Substrate Business, and Agricultural And Animal Husbandry Business Segments.
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Jilin Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd. provides private network information and communication technology solutions in China and internationally. The company operates through Smart Private Networks Business, Cellulose Substrate Business, and Agricultural And Animal Husbandry Business Segments. It also engages in research, production, and sales of bio-cellulose substrates; software and hardware product business; agricultural product trading; and warehousing services. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co.,Ltd. Jilin Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Dalian, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316) currently trades at ¥4.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 895.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥1.28 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥4.38 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.1300, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.3300 (bear) to ¥0.5500 (bull), the price of ¥4.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd reported revenue of 585M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −26.0%/yr. Reported net income was 6.2M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.7B CNY (≈ $257M) · P/E ratio 438.0 · P/S ratio 4.62 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −90%, 002316 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0300 to ¥1.98). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥0.3300Fair Value ¥0.4400Bull ¥0.5500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.7% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−16.8% (2020) → 3.5% (2025)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.1% a year for the price.
Compare Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 308 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−22% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.19× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)438.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B22.40× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.06× · Pricier than median
P/FCF4.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA74.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)47· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 22
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002316
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4400 versus a price of ¥4.38, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002316?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is ¥0.4400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.38.
What is the quality score of 002316?
Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.4400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.3300, optimistic scenario ¥0.5500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.4400, about −90% upside versus a price of ¥4.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.3300, optimistic scenario ¥0.5500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 563M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +25.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -29.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002316 use?
Our models discount Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd at 13.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd that is +25.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd grew -29.2 % a year. The price currently implies +25.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (+25.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.74 %: that much free cash flow Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd it is ¥0.4400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.38. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002316 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.38, fair value ¥0.4400, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002316?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.4400). For Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd the two are ¥3.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd at about 1.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.38; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.4400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002316?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.3300, base ¥0.4400, optimistic ¥0.5500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002316?
Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 438.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.4400 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 22.4, P/S 3.1, EV/EBITDA 74.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.9%, debt of 2.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002316 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd trades at ¥4.38, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥6.77 and 2% above the low of ¥4.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.4400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.38, calculated fair value ¥0.4400 (−90%), Quality Score 54/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002316 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.4400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥4.38. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.4400, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316) come from?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd grew −6.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.7 %, EBIT margin +15.0 %, tax rate −3.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −14.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is 1.7B CNY (≈ $257M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is 4.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd are ¥0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 438.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is 0.1% (payout 30.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is 1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is −3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd is growing −22.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd are growing −58.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd (002316) hold?
Shenzhen Keybridge Communications Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 6.9M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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