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Ronglian Group (002642) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 4.7B CNY

RG Ronglian Group 002642 · SHE
Price¥7.39
Fair Value¥0.8500
Upside-88.5%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range ¥0.6400 – ¥1.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥0.6100 to ¥0.8500 (+39.3%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price +8.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.94 ¥4.08 Fair Value ¥0.8500 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.08 – ¥11.94 · fair‑value band ¥0.6400 – ¥1.06 · the ¥7.39 price screens above the ¥0.8500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Ronglian Group (002642) currently trades at ¥7.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8500, implying the stock looks roughly 88.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ronglian Group generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 34.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 254M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6400 (bear case) to ¥1.06 (bull case); at ¥7.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -89%, 002642 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.1300 to ¥2.52). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.89 ¥2.26 ¥2.75 80
Residual Income ¥1.24 ¥1.17 ¥0.8900 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.63 ¥1.96 ¥2.32 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.87 ¥2.28 ¥2.84 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.42 ¥1.64 ¥1.93 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.63 ¥1.95 ¥2.33 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.93 ¥2.47 ¥3.08 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.63 ¥1.94 ¥2.24 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.70 ¥1.99 ¥2.35 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.90 ¥2.34 ¥2.89 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.71 ¥1.99 ¥2.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.2100 ¥0.5100 ¥0.6600 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.0900 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 46
EPV ¥1.47 ¥1.55 ¥1.63 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1500 ¥0.2600 ¥0.4000 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1500 ¥0.2200 ¥0.2900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.6400 ¥0.8500 ¥1.06 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.3900 ¥0.5100 ¥0.6400 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.3900 ¥0.5100 ¥0.6400 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.12 ¥2.52 ¥2.91 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.11 ¥2.50 ¥2.89 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.53 ¥1.79 ¥2.05 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9000 ¥1.20 ¥1.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.89 ¥2.26 ¥2.75 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.63 ¥1.96 ¥2.32 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.24 ¥1.17 ¥0.8900 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.47 ¥1.55 ¥1.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.4800 ¥0.6800 ¥0.8900 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥1.99) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.5%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow 60.9M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 246.3
More key figures
Operating margin 0.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -7.7%
Net cash 254M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ronglian Group Ltd. provides information technology (IT) services in China and internationally. It provides system integration services, including data center construction, data storage, disaster recovery and backup, network and information security, intelligent buildings, security systems, AI artificial intelligence applications, software customization and …

Full company description

Ronglian Group Ltd. provides information technology (IT) services in China and internationally. It provides system integration services, including data center construction, data storage, disaster recovery and backup, network and information security, intelligent buildings, security systems, AI artificial intelligence applications, software customization and development, etc., as well as develops biotechnology and information technology. The company also offers IT services, such as consulting planning, operation and maintenance management, business outsourcing, software implementation and development, computer room relocation, system and data migration, cloud hosting, cloud management services, etc.; Internet of Things solutions comprises energy consumption monitoring, new energy vehicle monitoring, intelligent building operation and control, and integrated collaborative management and control solutions for smart mines; and big data services. It is involved in the provision of telecommunications, internet information, computer system, data processing, and technical services; technical development, consulting, and exchanges; technology transfer and technology promotion; software sales and development; computer software, hardware and auxiliary equipment retail; computer software, hardware and peripheral equipment manufacturing; mechanical equipment and special equipment sales; electronic product sales; sales of intelligent instruments and meters; retail of electronic components; wholesale of computer hardware and software and auxiliary equipment; leasing of computers and communication equipment; import and export of goods; and non-residential housing and real estate leasing. The company was formerly known as UEC Group Ltd. Ronglian Group Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ronglian Group reported revenue of ¥1.9B in FY2025 versus ¥3.6B in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥20.0M in FY2025, compounding −22.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Revenue −14.1%/yr
FY21 ¥3.6B
FY22 ¥3.7B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.0B
FY25 ¥1.9B
Net income −22.8%/yr
FY21 ¥56.3M
FY22 ¥12.2M
FY23 −¥357M
FY24 ¥28.1M
FY25 ¥20.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −22.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.8 pp

of which total revenue +8.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.5 pp

EBIT margin −31.7 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002642 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ronglian Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002642

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 488 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 246.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 31
PAST 7 · sector 35
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.98 $175.76 -26%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 300.07 MXN -88%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,350 ₹3,473 +48%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,176 ₹1,998 +70%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,365 ₹1,722 +26%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹183.94 ₹314.26 +71%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,625 ₹1,521 -6%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 235,500 KRW 235,321 KRW -0%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,474 ₹3,259 -40%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 433,000 KRW 186,323 KRW -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ronglian Group (002642) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8500 versus a price of ¥7.39, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002642?
Our model-based fair value for Ronglian Group is ¥0.8500 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.39.
What is the quality score of 002642?
Ronglian Group has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ronglian Group (002642)?
Ronglian Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002642?
The net profit margin of Ronglian Group is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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