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Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co (002646) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

Price¥6.65
Fair Value¥1.57
Upside-76.4%
Quality94/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.25 – ¥1.89

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co (002646) currently trades at ¥6.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.57 — implying the stock looks roughly 76.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sales of highland barley spirits in China. It sells its products through e-commerce platform, and wholesale and retail under the Tianyoude, Huzhu, Yongqinghe, Bada Workshop, Shiyide, Tibetu, Maxville, and other brands. The company was formerly known as Qinghai Huzhu Barley Wine Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co., Ltd. in January 2022. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Weiyuan, China.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co (002646) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.57 versus a price of ¥6.65 — about −76% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 002646?
Our 21-model fair value for Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co is ¥1.57 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.65.
What is the quality score of 002646?
Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co has a Quality Score of 94/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.