Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co Ltd (002842) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 15.2B CNY
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +26.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥3.36 to ¥9.33). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.20 – ¥52.49 · fair‑value band ¥3.36 – ¥9.33 · the ¥39.47 price screens above the ¥6.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co Ltd (002842) currently trades at ¥39.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.41, implying the stock looks roughly 83.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co Ltd generated revenue of 3.1B CNY at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 138.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.9%. Net debt stands at 321M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.36 (bear case) to ¥9.33 (bull case); at ¥39.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 395% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -84%, 002842 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥7.47) versus Growth DCF (¥1.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co., Ltd. engages in the development, production, and sale of tungsten products in China and internationally. The company offers tungsten carbide powder, tungsten powders, tungsten trioxide, blue tungsten oxide, cemented carbides, tungsten wires, lanthanum tungsten bars, and lanthanum tungsten rods; and cemented carbide series.
Full company description
Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co., Ltd. engages in the development, production, and sale of tungsten products in China and internationally. The company offers tungsten carbide powder, tungsten powders, tungsten trioxide, blue tungsten oxide, cemented carbides, tungsten wires, lanthanum tungsten bars, and lanthanum tungsten rods; and cemented carbide series. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Chaozhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥2.4B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥144M in FY2025, compounding +55.2%/yr from FY2021.
002842 screens 84% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 478 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 216.56 MXN | 173.04 MXN | -20% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 233.40 MXN | 139.49 MXN | -40% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | -11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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