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0045 (0045) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$8.8B

0 0045 0045 · HK
PriceHK$5.26
Fair ValueHK$3.26
Upside-38.0%
Quality53/100
Evidence: High Range HK$2.45 – HK$4.81

Fair value as of: Jul 1, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$7.00 HK$5.19 Fair Value HK$3.26 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range HK$5.19 – HK$7.00 · fair‑value band HK$2.45 – HK$4.81 · the HK$5.26 price screens above the HK$3.26 fair value. As of Jul 1, 2026.

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Analysis

0045 (0045) currently trades at HK$5.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.26 — implying the stock looks roughly 38.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 0045 generated revenue of HK$8.0B at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue declined 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at HK$15.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 1, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$8.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.2%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow HK$510M FY2025
P/E ratio 27.7
More key figures
Operating margin 14.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1700
EPS growth (YoY) -29.9%
Net debt HK$15.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

0045 reported revenue of HK$8.0B in FY2025 versus HK$3.5B in FY2021, a compound +23.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$320M in FY2025.

Revenue +23.2%/yr
FY21 HK$3.5B
FY22 HK$4.2B
FY23 HK$8.1B
FY24 HK$10.3B
FY25 HK$8.0B
Net income
FY21 −HK$120M
FY22 −HK$488M
FY23 HK$146M
FY24 −HK$943M
FY25 HK$320M

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Similar stocks

6 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $386.23 $94.01 -76%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $342.93 $123.66 -64%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $170.05 $85.18 -50%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $190.63 $54.44 -71%
H World Group H1TH34 R$62.64 R$83.92 +34%
Accor SA ACRFF $57.35 $44.53 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 0045 (0045) undervalued?
As of Jul 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.26 versus a price of HK$5.26 — about −38% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 0045?
Our model-based fair value for 0045 is HK$3.26 (as of Jul 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$5.26.
What is the quality score of 0045?
0045 has a Quality Score of 53/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 0045 (0045)?
0045 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$8.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0045?
The net profit margin of 0045 is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.