First Pacific Co Ltd (0142) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$20.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.76 to HK$2.02 (+14.8%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −4.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$1.05 to HK$2.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.68 – HK$6.50 · fair‑value band HK$1.05 – HK$2.69 · the HK$5.03 price screens above the HK$2.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
First Pacific Co Ltd (0142) currently trades at HK$5.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.02, implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, First Pacific Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$10.2B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. Net debt stands at HK$8.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.05 (bear case) to HK$2.69 (bull case); at HK$5.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -60%, 0142 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$4.07) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.5100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
First Pacific Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the consumer food products, telecommunications, infrastructure, and natural resources businesses in the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.
Full company description
First Pacific Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the consumer food products, telecommunications, infrastructure, and natural resources businesses in the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company offers a range of telecommunications and digital services, including fiber-optic backbone, fixed-line, and cellular networks. It also manufactures and distributes consumer-branded goods and a range of food products, including noodles, dairy products, snack foods, food seasonings, nutrition and special foods, beverages, and products comprising wheat flour and pasta under the Bogasari brand. In addition, the company is involved in agribusiness activities, such as seed breeding; oil palm cultivation, milling, and the production of cooking oils, margarine, and shortening; as well as the cultivation and processing of sugar cane, rubber, and other crops. Further, it explores for, mines, and produces gold, copper, and silver. Additionally, the company is involved in the operation of gas-fired power plants; the provision of water distribution, sewerage, and sanitation services, as well as healthcare and real estate solutions; the operation of toll roads and light rail; and the distribution of electricity. First Pacific Company Limited was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
First Pacific Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$10.2B in FY2025 versus HK$9.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$661M in FY2025, compounding +28.2%/yr from FY2021.
0142 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 655 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,507 | ₹362.37 | -76% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | -68% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,062 | ₹327.27 | -69% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 7,550 IDR | 12,864 IDR | +70% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,219,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -17% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 61,600 VND | 52,858 VND | -14% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹350.95 | ₹144.77 | -59% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,650 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +64% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,610 IDR | 4,350 IDR | -6% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 389,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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