0199 (0199) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$2.6B

0 0199 0199 · HK

PriceHK$2.40

Fair ValueHK$0.9600

Upside-60.0%

Quality72/100

Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.4300 – HK$1.66

Fair value as of: Jul 1, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.2040 – HK$2.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.4300 – HK$1.66 · the HK$2.40 price screens above the HK$0.9600 fair value. As of Jul 1, 2026.

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Analysis

0199 (0199) currently trades at HK$2.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9600 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$388M. Revenue declined 23.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.5%. Net debt stands at HK$889M. Fundamentals as of Jul 1, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$388M

Revenue growth (YoY) -23.9%

Net margin -111%

Return on equity -22.5%

Free cash flow HK$135M FY2025

Operating margin -1,370%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.4700

EPS growth (YoY) -77.6%

Net debt HK$889M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

0199 reported revenue of HK$398M in FY2025 versus HK$262M in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$813M in FY2025.

Revenue +11.0%/yr

FY21 HK$262M

FY22 HK$337M

FY23 HK$93.9M

FY24 HK$111M

FY25 HK$398M

Net income

FY21 −HK$662M

FY22 HK$566M

FY23 −HK$147M

FY24 −HK$645M

FY25 −HK$813M

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Similar stocks

6 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 1, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR	$386.23	$94.01	-76%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT	$342.93	$123.66	-64%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG	$170.05	$85.18	-50%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H	$190.63	$54.44	-71%
H World Group H1TH34	R$62.64	R$83.92	+34%
Accor SA ACRFF	$57.35	$44.53	-22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 0199 (0199) undervalued?

As of Jul 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.9600 versus a price of HK$2.40 — about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 0199?

Our model-based fair value for 0199 is HK$0.9600 (as of Jul 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.40.

What is the quality score of 0199?

0199 has a Quality Score of 72/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 0199 (0199)?

0199 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$388M (latest available figure, as of Jul 1, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 0199?

The net profit margin of 0199 is about -110.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.